Paraguay vs. France - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Paraguay vs. France - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，O/U 0.5 以壓倒性的 9,500% 獲勝機率主導市場；France O/U 0.5 以 9,300% 位居第二，2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 8,200% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $112.5K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- O/U 0.5 (9,500%)：O/U 0.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,500¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- France O/U 0.5 (9,300%)：作為最可行的替代選項，France O/U 0.5 保持著 9,300% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,300¢。
- 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (8,200%)：以 8,200% 的機率位列第三，市場對 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 O/U 1.5 (8,100%)、France O/U 1.5 (7,350%)，以及 1st Half O/U 0.5 (7,300%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 France 1st Half O/U 0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 9500.0% | — | 9500¢ | -9400¢ |
| 2 | France O/U 0.5 | 9300.0% | — | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 3 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 8200.0% | — | 8200¢ | -8100¢ |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 8100.0% | $140 | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 5 | France O/U 1.5 | 7350.0% | $335 | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 6 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 7300.0% | $66 | 7300¢ | -7200¢ |
| 7 | France 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 8 | France (-1.5) | 6050.0% | $27.8K | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 | 5850.0% | $1.3K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 10 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 11 | France 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 12 | France 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | $35 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | France O/U 2.5 | 4750.0% | $4.8K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 16 | Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 4750.0% | $30 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 17 | Paraguay O/U 0.5 | 4000.0% | $110 | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 18 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 3750.0% | $4.3K | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams to Score | 3700.0% | $876 | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 20 | France (-2.5) | 3650.0% | $11.0K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 21 | O/U 3.5 | 3550.0% | $11.1K | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 22 | France 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 24 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 25 | Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 26 | O/U 4.5 | 1900.0% | $497 | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 27 | France (-3.5) | 1850.0% | $632 | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 28 | 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 29 | Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | 1350.0% | $2.5K | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams to Score in First Half | 1300.0% | $10 | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 31 | Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 32 | Paraguay O/U 1.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 33 | O/U 5.5 | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 34 | Team to Advance | 850.0% | $39.5K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 35 | France (-4.5) | 800.0% | $20 | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 36 | O/U 6.5 | 305.0% | — | 305¢ | -205¢ |
| 37 | France (-5.5) | 295.0% | — | 295¢ | -195¢ |
| 38 | Paraguay O/U 2.5 | 255.0% | $244 | 255¢ | -155¢ |
| 39 | O/U 7.5 | 150.0% | $100 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 40 | Paraguay (-1.5) | 90.0% | $689 | 90¢ | 10¢ |
| 41 | O/U 8.5 | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 42 | Paraguay (-2.5) | 50.0% | $370 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 43 | Paraguay (-3.5) | 50.0% | $809 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 44 | Paraguay (-4.5) | 30.0% | $2.6K | 30¢ | 70¢ |
| 45 | Paraguay (-5.5) | 30.0% | $2.6K | 30¢ | 70¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 1, 2026
- 09:06 PMPEpeckishpom$9.28
Bought 15.213112 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.61
- 09:02 PM——$1.50
Bought 16.666665 Paraguay for Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance at 0.09
- 09:01 PMTCtcrook4$1.56
Sold 13 Yes for Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? at 0.12
- 09:01 PMTCtcrook4$1.92
Sold 24 Paraguay for Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance at 0.08
- 08:57 PMDMDmon8or$2.76
Bought 3 France for Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance at 0.92
- 08:49 PMDUdumber$50.00
Bought 81.967212 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.61
- 08:46 PMARArgonK55$2.00
Bought 2.002 France for Spread: Paraguay (-5.5) at 1
- 08:46 PMSWswisstony$150.00
Bought 150 France for Spread: Paraguay (-5.5) at 1
- 08:46 PM0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0$1.00
Bought 1.001 France for Spread: Paraguay (-5.5) at 1
- 08:46 PMDMDmon8or$2.76
Bought 3 France for Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance at 0.92
- 08:45 PMTCtcrook4$2.60
Bought 13.684209 Yes for Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? at 0.19
- 08:45 PMWIWinRus$25.00
Bought 59.523808 Under for Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 at 0.42
常見問題
目前市場對「Paraguay vs. France - More Markets」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,500% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 France O/U 0.5（9,300%），以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5（8,200%）。該市場總成交量已達 $112.5K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。