
Spain vs. Austria
核心摘要
根據「Spain vs. Austria」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Spain 以壓倒性的 7,350% 獲勝機率主導市場;Draw (Spain vs. Austria) 以 1,750% 位居第二,Austria 以 850% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $179K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Spain (7,350%):Spain 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,350¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $105.5K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Draw (Spain vs. Austria) (1,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,Draw (Spain vs. Austria) 保持著 1,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,750¢。
- Austria (850%):以 850% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Austria 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 7350.0% | $105.5K | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 2 | Draw (Spain vs. Austria) | 1750.0% | $29.2K | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 3 | Austria | 850.0% | $44.2K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
裁決規則
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, July 2, 2026 between Spain and Austria.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jun 30, 2026
- 08:28 AMNINisLe$2.83
Bought 3.824323 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74
- 08:26 AMDADarek111222$10.00
Bought 111.11111 Yes for Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? at 0.09
- 08:25 AMKIKingShashaq$5.00
Bought 55.555554 Yes for Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? at 0.09
- 08:23 AMUNUnduck$1.00
Bought 1.35135 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74
- 08:16 AMIHIhorgame$1.00
Bought 1.35135 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74
- 08:16 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.35135 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74
- 08:15 AMSASantaIsNotReal$5.00
Bought 6.756753 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74
- 08:14 AM0X0x2AFCD9753c47FC3380E355FeD61EA998eA6945F0-1782285076289$5.00
Bought 6.756753 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74
- 08:13 AM0X0x1F2d315b3363DFd73CEb0BbeF5FF8043c9f5D5eA-1769606544628$10.00
Bought 55.555554 Yes for Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? at 0.18
- 08:12 AM——$34.03
Bought 45.986484 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74
- 08:12 AMWSwSkW0$4.41
Bought 49 Yes for Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? at 0.09
- 08:12 AM0X0x46Dd7352546F231CAB1022B79415F6262392AcAF-1777358058691$1.00
Bought 1.35135 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74
常見問題
目前市場對「Spain vs. Austria」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Spain 以 7,350% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Draw (Spain vs. Austria)(1,750%),以及 Austria(850%)。該市場總成交量已達 $179K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
