Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props
$305K Vol
2026年7月6日
Active
機率趨勢
No 56.5%
Yes 43.5%
核心摘要
根據「Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 以壓倒性的 8,700% 獲勝機率主導市場；Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 以 8,150% 位居第二，Erling Haaland: 2+ shots 以 8,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $305K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shots (8,700%)：Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,700¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $12.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots (8,150%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 保持著 8,150% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,150¢。
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shots (8,100%)：以 8,100% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Erling Haaland: 2+ shots 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots (8,100%)、Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots (8,000%)，以及 Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots (7,600%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Erling Haaland: 3+ shots 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erling Haaland: 1+ shots | 8700.0% | $12.3K | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 2 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots | 8150.0% | $1.1K | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 3 | Erling Haaland: 2+ shots | 8100.0% | $2.6K | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 4 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots | 8100.0% | $98 | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 5 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots | 8000.0% | — | 8000¢ | -7900¢ |
| 6 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots | 7600.0% | $10 | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 7 | Erling Haaland: 3+ shots | 6600.0% | $755 | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 8 | Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots | 6600.0% | $2.3K | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 9 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots | 6350.0% | $275 | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 10 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 11 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 13 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 14 | Raphinha: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 15 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 16 | Alisson: 2+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 17 | Ørjan Nyland: 2+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 18 | Ørjan Nyland: 3+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 19 | Igor Thiago: 1+ shots | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 20 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 21 | Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 22 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | 4350.0% | $117.7K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 23 | Erling Haaland: 4+ shots | 4200.0% | $779 | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 24 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals | 4050.0% | $90.4K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 25 | Raphinha: 1+ goals + assists | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 26 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 27 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 28 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots | 3650.0% | $1.3K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 29 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 30 | Raphinha: 2+ goals + assists | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 31 | Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 32 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 33 | Ørjan Nyland: 4+ saves | 3400.0% | $51 | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 34 | Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 35 | Raphinha: 2+ shots | 3350.0% | $5 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 36 | Alisson: 4+ saves | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 37 | Alisson: 3+ saves | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 38 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 39 | Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 40 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 41 | Raphinha: 2+ shots on target | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 42 | Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 43 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 44 | Ørjan Nyland: 5+ saves | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 45 | Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 46 | Raphinha: 3+ goals + assists | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 47 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 48 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 49 | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists | 3150.0% | $6 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 50 | Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots | 3100.0% | $3.7K | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 51 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists | 3100.0% | $75 | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 52 | Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 53 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals | 3050.0% | $1.1K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 54 | Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots | 3050.0% | $20 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 55 | Alisson: 5+ saves | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 56 | Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists | 3050.0% | $6 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 57 | Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 58 | Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 59 | Igor Thiago: 5+ shots | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 60 | Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 61 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 62 | Raphinha: 3+ shots on target | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 63 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target | 2850.0% | $5 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 64 | Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 65 | Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 66 | Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 67 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists | 2800.0% | $10 | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 68 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots | 2750.0% | $5 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 69 | Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 70 | Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target | 2750.0% | $14 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 71 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 72 | Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 73 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists | 2700.0% | $83 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 74 | Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 75 | Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 76 | Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 77 | Igor Thiago: 2+ shots | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 78 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 79 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target | 2600.0% | $5 | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 80 | Raphinha: 4+ shots on target | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 81 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists | 2550.0% | $471 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 82 | Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 83 | Igor Thiago: 4+ shots | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 84 | Raphinha: 3+ shots | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 85 | Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 86 | Raphinha: 1+ shots | 2300.0% | $196 | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 87 | Raphinha: 4+ goals + assists | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 88 | Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 89 | Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target | 2150.0% | $108 | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 90 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target | 2050.0% | $12 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 91 | Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots | 2000.0% | $15 | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 92 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 93 | Igor Thiago: 3+ shots | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 94 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 95 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals | 1750.0% | $895 | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 96 | Erling Haaland: 5+ shots | 1750.0% | $37 | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 97 | Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots | 1700.0% | $100 | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 98 | Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots | 1500.0% | $34 | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 99 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 100 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | 1300.0% | $3.5K | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 101 | Igor Thiago: 1+ goals | 1300.0% | $38 | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 102 | Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 103 | Raphinha: 4+ shots | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 104 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists | 1200.0% | $636 | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 105 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 106 | Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 107 | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | 1150.0% | $35.8K | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 108 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists | 1150.0% | $183 | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 109 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals | 950.0% | $17.4K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 110 | Erling Haaland: 1+ assists | 950.0% | $1.1K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 111 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists | 900.0% | $169 | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 112 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals | 850.0% | $42 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 113 | Raphinha: 1+ goals | 700.0% | $708 | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 114 | Raphinha: 1+ assists | 700.0% | $70 | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 115 | Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots | 600.0% | $21 | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 116 | Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 117 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals | 470.0% | $953 | 470¢ | -370¢ |
| 118 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists | 305.0% | $555 | 305¢ | -205¢ |
| 119 | Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | 290.0% | $10.5K | 290¢ | -190¢ |
| 120 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals | 270.0% | $3.7K | 270¢ | -170¢ |
| 121 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists | 265.0% | $2.7K | 265¢ | -165¢ |
| 122 | Raphinha: 5+ shots | 255.0% | — | 255¢ | -155¢ |
| 123 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals | 245.0% | — | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 124 | Raphinha: 2+ assists | 245.0% | — | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 125 | Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots | 225.0% | $38 | 225¢ | -125¢ |
| 126 | Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals | 200.0% | $4.4K | 200¢ | -100¢ |
| 127 | Erling Haaland: 2+ assists | 185.0% | $323 | 185¢ | -85¢ |
| 128 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists | 160.0% | — | 160¢ | -60¢ |
| 129 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists | 155.0% | — | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 130 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals | 55.0% | $1.1K | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 131 | Igor Thiago: 2+ goals | 55.0% | — | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 132 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals | 55.0% | — | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 133 | Raphinha: 2+ goals | 55.0% | $1.2K | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 134 | Raphinha: 3+ goals | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 135 | Igor Thiago: 3+ goals | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 136 | Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 137 | Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals | 25.0% | $255 | 25¢ | 75¢ |
裁決規則
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Norway, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00 PM ET.
常見問題
目前市場對「Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 以 8,700% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots（8,150%），以及 Erling Haaland: 2+ shots（8,100%）。該市場總成交量已達 $305K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。