
Argentina vs. Egypt - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Argentina vs. Egypt - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 0.5 以壓倒性的 9,250% 獲勝機率主導市場;Argentina O/U 0.5 以 8,700% 位居第二,Team to Advance 以 8,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $240.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 0.5 (9,250%):O/U 0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,250¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $305 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Argentina O/U 0.5 (8,700%):作為最可行的替代選項,Argentina O/U 0.5 保持著 8,700% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,700¢。
- Team to Advance (8,550%):以 8,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Team to Advance 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,450%)、O/U 1.5 (7,250%),以及 1st Half O/U 0.5 (6,700%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 9250.0% | $305 | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 2 | Argentina O/U 0.5 | 8700.0% | $11 | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 3 | Team to Advance | 8550.0% | $132.5K | 8550¢ | -8450¢ |
| 4 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 7450.0% | $5 | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 5 | O/U 1.5 | 7250.0% | $1.2K | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 6 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 6700.0% | $37 | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 7 | Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 6650.0% | — | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 8 | Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 5950.0% | $15 | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 9 | Argentina O/U 1.5 | 5900.0% | $838 | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 10 | Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 | 4750.0% | $4.9K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 12 | Egypt O/U 0.5 | 4500.0% | $33 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 13 | Argentina (-1.5) | 4350.0% | $84.9K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 14 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 4250.0% | $17 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams to Score | 3950.0% | $1.0K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 16 | Argentina O/U 2.5 | 3200.0% | $1.6K | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 17 | Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 18 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 3000.0% | $152 | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 19 | Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 20 | O/U 3.5 | 2500.0% | $44 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 21 | Argentina (-2.5) | 2150.0% | $4.9K | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 22 | Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 23 | Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 2150.0% | $259 | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 2100.0% | $6 | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 25 | Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | 2100.0% | $133 | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 26 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams to Score in First Half | 1350.0% | $6 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 28 | Egypt O/U 1.5 | 1350.0% | $6 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 29 | Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | 1250.0% | $11 | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 30 | O/U 4.5 | 1150.0% | $458 | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 31 | 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 32 | Argentina (-3.5) | 850.0% | $33 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 33 | O/U 5.5 | 450.0% | $412 | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 34 | Argentina (-4.5) | 400.0% | $204 | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 35 | Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 350.0% | — | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 36 | Egypt O/U 2.5 | 230.0% | $414 | 230¢ | -130¢ |
| 37 | Egypt (-1.5) | 205.0% | — | 205¢ | -105¢ |
| 38 | O/U 6.5 | 155.0% | $250 | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 39 | Argentina (-5.5) | 105.0% | $218 | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 40 | O/U 7.5 | 60.0% | $5 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 41 | Egypt (-3.5) | 55.0% | $542 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 42 | O/U 8.5 | 55.0% | $7 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 43 | Egypt (-2.5) | 50.0% | $362 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 44 | Egypt (-5.5) | 25.0% | $1.5K | 25¢ | 75¢ |
| 45 | Egypt (-4.5) | 15.0% | $3.5K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 7 at 12:00 PM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 4, 2026
- 08:31 PM——$3.47
Bought 4.034878 Argentina for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.86
- 08:25 PMSUsuntori$56.97
Bought 66.244185 Argentina for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.86
- 08:22 PMELElSantitos$996.52
Bought 1158.744185 Argentina for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.86
- 08:21 PMMEMELL$1.00
Bought 8.333332 Over for Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5 at 0.12
- 08:20 PMMEMELL$1.06
Bought 10.6 Argentina for Spread: Argentina (-3.5) at 0.1
- 08:19 PMPOPoissonic$1.03
Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15
- 08:11 PMPOPoissonic$1.03
Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15
- 08:11 PMSWswisstony$166.59
Bought 169.989739 Under for Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 at 0.98
- 08:10 PM——$1.00
Bought 14.285713 Under for Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5 at 0.07
- 08:10 PMPOPoissonic$1.03
Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15
- 08:10 PMPOPoissonic$1.03
Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15
- 08:09 PMPOPoissonic$1.03
Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15
常見問題
目前市場對「Argentina vs. Egypt - More Markets」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 0.5 以 9,250% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Argentina O/U 0.5(8,700%),以及 Team to Advance(8,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $240.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
