Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

$73.8K Vol
2026年7月4日
Active
機率趨勢
No 95.3%
Yes 4.7%

核心摘要

根據「Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Any Other Score 以壓倒性的 2,450% 獲勝機率主導市場;Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde 以 1,750% 位居第二,Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde 以 1,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $73.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Any Other Score (2,450%):Any Other Score 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 2,450¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $819 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde (1,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde 保持著 1,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,750¢。
  • Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde (1,450%):以 1,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde (1,350%)、Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde (750%),以及 Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde (705%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Any Other Score2450.0%$8192450¢-2350¢
2Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde1750.0%$1.8K1750¢-1650¢
3Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde1450.0%$2.0K1450¢-1350¢
4Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde1350.0%$3.6K1350¢-1250¢
5Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde750.0%$5.3K750¢-650¢
6Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde705.0%$6.7K705¢-605¢
7Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde570.0%$3.8K570¢-470¢
8Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde465.0%$19.0K465¢-365¢
9Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde280.0%$4.0K280¢-180¢
10Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde255.0%$10.2K255¢-155¢
11Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde170.0%$805170¢-70¢
12Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde165.0%$1.3K165¢-65¢
13Argentina 0 - 2 Cabo Verde55.0%$61455¢45¢
14Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde50.0%$5.3K50¢50¢
15Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde45.0%$66745¢55¢
16Argentina 1 - 3 Cabo Verde45.0%$6.5K45¢55¢
17Argentina 2 - 3 Cabo Verde35.0%$1.3K35¢65¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Argentina vs. Cabo Verde match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:34 AM
    ZZzzaqq2
    $1.78

    Bought 89 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde? at 0.02

  • 08:09 AM
    0X0xeA8FCB500B6844fAd6798F70d58c191879f26587-1782651596293
    $1.00

    Bought 12.5 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde? at 0.08

  • 08:09 AM
    0X0xeA8FCB500B6844fAd6798F70d58c191879f26587-1782651596293
    $0.80

    Bought 40.2 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde? at 0.02

  • 08:09 AM
    0X0xeA8FCB500B6844fAd6798F70d58c191879f26587-1782651596293
    $0.97

    Bought 16.209676 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde? at 0.06

  • 07:54 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.54

    Bought 30.795917 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? at 0.05

  • 07:50 AM
    LIlinxuan04
    $1.86

    Bought 2 No for Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde? at 0.93

  • 07:32 AM
    $0.89

    Sold 5.26 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? at 0.17

  • 07:24 AM
    LUluliuliu
    $13.00

    Sold 99.99 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? at 0.13

  • 07:24 AM
    LUluliuliu
    $10.00

    Sold 200 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? at 0.05

  • 07:08 AM
    0X0xf53a372d26d918e58f630d69595E437567E869F8-1773394497642
    $1.65

    Bought 8.684209 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? at 0.19

  • 07:08 AM
    0X0xf53a372d26d918e58f630d69595E437567E869F8-1773394497642
    $1.70

    Bought 21.25 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde? at 0.08

  • 07:07 AM
    0X0xf53a372d26d918e58f630d69595E437567E869F8-1773394497642
    $1.80

    Bought 12.857141 Yes for Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? at 0.14

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
+$11.13
Volume
$33,221.54
Positions
NoNoNo+11
A52
0xa5ef…2966
Event PnL
+$12,066.73
Volume
$12,863.92
Positions
NoNoNo+14
SU3
suntori
Event PnL
-$60.00
Volume
$10,126.00
Positions
YesYesYes+10
TM4
tmaxel
Event PnL
-$100.33
Volume
$7,569.65
Positions
YesYesYes+2
YO5
youngwhale
Event PnL
-$6.15
Volume
$6,814.82
Positions
YesNoNo
GC6
GC-P
Event PnL
+$18.22
Volume
$3,996.89
Positions
NoNoNo+13
KN7
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$30.70
Volume
$3,639.36
Positions
NoNoNo+7
BA8
balthazar
Event PnL
+$75.43
Volume
$3,399.27
Positions
NoYesYes+13

常見問題

目前市場對「Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Any Other Score 以 2,450% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde(1,750%),以及 Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde(1,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $73.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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