Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，Ends in Daytime 以壓倒性的 9,000% 獲勝機率主導市場；First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,000% 位居第二，Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $759.6K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- Ends in Daytime (9,000%)：Ends in Daytime 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,000¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- First Blood in Game 2? (9,000%)：作為最可行的替代選項，First Blood in Game 2? 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,000%)：以 9,000% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (1,000%)，以及 Any Player Ultra Kill (1,000%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Any Player Rampage 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends in Daytime | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 12 | First Blood in Game 1? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 16 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $465.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Xtreme Gaming and Team Falcons, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 11, 2026
- 08:23 AM0X0x077c97eA1fF2cd7d24a52f9Ed94b7B13966398AB-1771184749473$61.68
Bought 205.591211 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner at 0.3
- 08:10 AM0X0x7126dC190577e55b9b8d23C701A0c8510f63BfcB-1781107189805$194.00
Bought 692.857141 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner at 0.28
- 08:09 AMSUsuntori$13.33
Bought 47.61 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner at 0.28
- 08:03 AMCOCONTOLODON$350.00
Bought 472.972969 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner at 0.74
- 08:02 AMYIyiluchanghong888$200.00
Bought 273.9726 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner at 0.73
- 07:48 AMPIpityke$3.00
Bought 4.109588 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner at 0.73
- 07:03 AM0X0xF26c9588EE4D708959B91AE9B6c7795cE3dB4b59-1773071265554$50.00
Bought 67.567565 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner at 0.74
- 06:44 AMQ1q136084$34.72
Bought 128.59 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner at 0.27
- 06:44 AMNOnottop6896$110.00
Bought 407.407406 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner at 0.27
- 06:41 AM0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404$10.00
Bought 13.513511 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner at 0.74
- 06:40 AM0X0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569$99.09
Bought 367 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner at 0.27
- 06:40 AM0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404$10.00
Bought 13.513511 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner at 0.74
常見問題
目前市場對「Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - More Markets」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，Ends in Daytime 以 9,000% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 First Blood in Game 2?（9,000%），以及 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?（9,000%）。該市場總成交量已達 $759.6K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。