Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

$1.4M Vol
2026年7月8日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Spirit 50.5%
MOUZ 49.5%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以壓倒性的 9,955% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 5,000% 位居第二,Any Player Ultra Kill 以 45% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.4M,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,955%):Both Teams Beat Roshan 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,955¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Beat Roshan 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Any Player Ultra Kill (45%):以 45% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Any Player Ultra Kill 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Any Player Rampage (45%),以及 First Blood in Game 2? (45%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Rampage 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Beat Roshan9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
2Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Any Player Ultra Kill45.0%45¢55¢
4Any Player Rampage45.0%45¢55¢
5First Blood in Game 2?45.0%45¢55¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against MOUZ.

This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Team Spirit.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 7, 2026

  • 08:28 PM
    BLblowrari
    $9.53

    Sold 19.44 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.49

  • 08:11 PM
    COcorneredwalrus
    $5.00

    Sold 5 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:00 PM
    LILisanal-Gaib
    $200.00

    Sold 200 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 07:56 PM
    ALalex59
    $230.16

    Sold 230.16 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 07:52 PM
    ADAdonisbarang
    $1.31

    Sold 2.61 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.5

  • 07:49 PM
    SKskrtz
    $9.80

    Sold 20 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.49

  • 07:46 PM
    NOnottop6896
    $818.51

    Sold 818.51 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 07:36 PM
    0X0x85fb6511f95C72eDC834DdCC2e4daaDB9aAD79b6-1783193717326
    $2,353.75

    Sold 2353.75 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 07:34 PM
    MOmontechristo777
    $2,148.12

    Sold 2148.12 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 07:32 PM
    HYhyok
    $99.16

    Sold 202.36 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.49

  • 07:30 PM
    YUyufuyufu
    $43.47

    Sold 43.47 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 07:27 PM
    NUnumber11-
    $20.36

    Sold 20.36 MOUZ for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner at 1

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SK1
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
-$1,240.07
Volume
$31,751.43
Positions
Team SpiritMOUZ
E12
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$29,410.01
Positions
Team Spirit
RE3
Revenge.Trader
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$25,243.95
Positions
MOUZ
RO4
Rock.San
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$25,000.00
Positions
MOUZ
ES5
EsportsEnjoyer
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$21,816.11
Positions
Team Spirit
GX6
gxxyy
Event PnL
-$3,662.57
Volume
$20,904.25
Positions
Team SpiritMOUZ
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$9,212.08
Volume
$20,082.40
Positions
MOUZ
DO8
Dota2winner
Event PnL
-$2,896.73
Volume
$19,558.15
Positions
MOUZMOUZ

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,955% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Beat Roshan(5,000%),以及 Any Player Ultra Kill(45%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.4M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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