
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以壓倒性的 9,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Any Player Ultra Kill 以 1,000% 位居第二,Any Player Rampage 以 1,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $378.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%):Both Teams Beat Roshan 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Any Player Ultra Kill (1,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Any Player Ultra Kill 保持著 1,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,000¢。
- Any Player Rampage (1,000%):以 1,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Any Player Rampage 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Ends in Daytime (1,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (1,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (1,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Ultra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 3 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 16 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $240.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Poor Rangers and Rune Eaters, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 11, 2026
- 08:14 AM——$49.94
Bought 86.1 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.58
- 08:07 AMSUsuntori$28.57
Bought 49.258619 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.58
- 06:43 AM0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404$10.00
Bought 22.222221 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner at 0.45
- 06:43 AM0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404$10.00
Bought 22.727271 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
- 06:21 AM0X0x9332506cf9094860D30047103bf7Fe7F02A1A3db-1771083194908$5.00
Bought 8.92857 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
- 06:21 AM0X0x9332506cf9094860D30047103bf7Fe7F02A1A3db-1771083194908$5.00
Bought 8.92857 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner at 0.56
- 05:43 AMSTstanleywayno$20.00
Bought 44.444443 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner at 0.45
- 05:43 AMSTstanleywayno$20.00
Bought 44.444443 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.45
- 05:31 AMHAHawkSpirit$6.60
Bought 15 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner at 0.44
- 05:31 AMHAHawkSpirit$22.00
Bought 50 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
- 05:22 AMRTrtyzxx$5.00
Bought 8.771927 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.57
- 02:25 AMREReeeze$40.00
Bought 71.42857 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
常見問題
目前市場對「Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - More Markets」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Any Player Ultra Kill(1,000%),以及 Any Player Rampage(1,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $378.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
