Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets

$1M Vol
2026年7月12日
Active
機率趨勢
PARIVISION 100.0%
Team Spirit 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場；First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,050% 位居第二，Any Player Ultra Kill 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1M，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%)：Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $614.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,050%)：作為最可行的替代選項，First Blood in Game 2? 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
  • Any Player Ultra Kill (9,000%)：以 9,000% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Any Player Ultra Kill 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 Any Player Rampage (9,000%)、Ends in Daytime (9,000%)，以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$614.1K9995¢-9895¢
2First Blood in Game 2?9050.0%$3819050¢-8950¢
3Any Player Ultra Kill9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
4Any Player Rampage9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
5Ends in Daytime9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
14Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
15First Blood in Game 1?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢

裁決規則

More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between PARIVISION and Team Spirit, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 12, 2026

  • 08:06 AM
    TAtavaloa
    $6.82

    Bought 11.366665 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner at 0.6

  • 08:06 AM
    SOsony11111111
    $5.00

    Bought 8.33 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:59 AM
    ——
    $1.47

    Bought 2.45 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:59 AM
    DJdjonion27
    $755.12

    Bought 1841.756096 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:59 AM
    GEGeorgiy1
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:59 AM
    TAtavaloa
    $1.24

    Bought 2.066665 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:58 AM
    DJdjonion27
    $11.81

    Bought 28.804877 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:57 AM
    ——
    $1.47

    Bought 2.45 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:57 AM
    DJdjonion27
    $800.00

    Bought 1951.219511 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:56 AM
    CKckv7ever
    $40.00

    Bought 97.560974 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:45 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $5.30

    Bought 12.926828 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:44 AM
    0X0xfeFecE4F05C315ab5fC10758799c7Bc1867e5F4c-1782647985346
    $1.00

    Sold 1.69 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.59

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 First Blood in Game 2?（9,050%），以及 Any Player Ultra Kill（9,000%）。該市場總成交量已達 $1M，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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