Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

$223K Vol
2026年7月8日
Active
機率趨勢
PARIVISION 100.0%
Team Nemesis 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Ends in Daytime 以壓倒性的 9,955% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,955% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 以 1,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $223K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Ends in Daytime (9,955%):Ends in Daytime 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,955¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,955%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Beat Roshan 保持著 9,955% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,955¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (1,000%):以 1,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? (1,000%)、Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (1,000%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (1,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Ends in Daytime9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
2Both Teams Beat Roshan9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?1000.0%$1891000¢-900¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks45.0%45¢55¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill45.0%45¢55¢
10Any Player Rampage45.0%$59845¢55¢
11Ends in Daytime45.0%45¢55¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan45.0%45¢55¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks45.0%45¢55¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill45.0%45¢55¢
15Any Player Rampage45.0%$59845¢55¢
16First Blood in Game 1?45.0%45¢55¢
17First Blood in Game 2?45.0%45¢55¢
18Game 2 Winner5.0%$38.3K95¢
19Match Winner5.0%$9.4K95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Nemesis and PARIVISION in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against PARIVISION.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Team Nemesis.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 7, 2026

  • 08:20 PM
    0X0x32b237fF34821e52C7bd4bEf10F6Fce67CfbA247-1782142067456
    $6.57

    Sold 6.57 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 07:52 PM
    ADAdonisbarang
    $2.34

    Sold 2.34 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 1

  • 07:46 PM
    NOnottop6896
    $2,333.33

    Sold 2333.33 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 07:26 PM
    $0.00

    Bought 1170 Team Nemesis for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 07:24 PM
    MIMimiza
    $2,114.00

    Sold 2114 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 06:37 PM
    0X0xCe8A2aE72F5a4E0811573D5E1e899702E9c8189F-1778417722538
    $29.06

    Sold 29.06 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 1

  • 06:30 PM
    0X0x89ea57940c25491a078c1719da06A921BF956063-1783126283676
    $1.12

    Sold 1.12 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 1

  • 06:20 PM
    4I4is4
    $217.00

    Sold 217 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 06:20 PM
    BRbrokeboyshit
    $231.39

    Sold 231.39 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 06:16 PM
    REReZoNWW
    $0.42

    Sold 0.42 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 06:14 PM
    REReZoNWW
    $420.00

    Sold 420 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 06:13 PM
    SESergeiZol
    $391.91

    Sold 391.91 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

F21
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$3,283.78
Volume
$17,287.59
Positions
Team Nemesis
DE2
degenofweb3
Event PnL
+$8.32
Volume
$16,640.78
Positions
PARIVISION
SU3
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$152.62
Volume
$11,987.10
Positions
PARIVISIONTeam Nemesis
RE4
Revenge.Trader
Event PnL
+$5.70
Volume
$11,395.94
Positions
PARIVISIONPARIVISION
F35
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
-$2,644.95
Volume
$10,106.67
Positions
Team Nemesis
OK6
okalright
Event PnL
+$38.34
Volume
$9,148.29
Positions
PARIVISIONPARIVISION
GO7
GonSaless
Event PnL
-$47.44
Volume
$7,226.54
Positions
PARIVISIONTeam Nemesis
B38
0xb3ba…f84e
Event PnL
+$3.50
Volume
$6,992.67
Positions
PARIVISION

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Ends in Daytime 以 9,955% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Beat Roshan(9,955%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?(1,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $223K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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