
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 以壓倒性的 9,955% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 以 9,950% 位居第二,First Blood in Game 1? 以 9,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $656.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? (9,955%):Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,955¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (9,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 保持著 9,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,950¢。
- First Blood in Game 1? (9,500%):以 9,500% 的機率位列第三,市場對 First Blood in Game 1? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Ends in Daytime (9,000%)、Ends in Daytime (9,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (9,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 9950.0% | $99 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | First Blood in Game 1? | 9500.0% | — | 9500¢ | -9400¢ |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2? | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 24 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 26 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 27 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 28 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $296.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 29 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $361.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between MOUZ and Vici Gaming, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 12, 2026
- 07:54 AMIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII$10.00
Bought 18.518517 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54
- 07:26 AMSKSK8ER$10.04
Bought 18.587776 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.54
- 07:25 AMSKSK8ER$10.00
Bought 18.518517 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54
- 07:20 AMREreghergh$2.00
Bought 4 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? at 0.5
- 07:20 AMREreghergh$3.00
Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? at 0.6
- 07:20 AMMOmo1sha$10.00
Bought 20 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? at 0.5
- 07:19 AMDAdarkwhitehair$1.00
Bought 1.886791 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.53
- 07:19 AMDAdarkwhitehair$1.00
Bought 1.85185 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54
- 06:38 AMREreghergh$14.07
Bought 29.936169 Vici Gaming for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.47
- 06:38 AMSUsuntori$94.28
Bought 174.592591 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54
- 06:18 AMREreghergh$9.19
Bought 19.55319 Vici Gaming for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.47
- 06:17 AMSUsuntori$94.28
Bought 174.592591 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54
常見問題
目前市場對「Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 以 9,955% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?(9,950%),以及 First Blood in Game 1?(9,500%)。該市場總成交量已達 $656.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
