Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場；Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? 以 9,000% 位居第二，Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 以 5,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $185.4K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%)：Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $106.6K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? (9,000%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (5,250%)：以 5,250% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,100%)、Any Player Rampage (5,100%)，以及 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Both Teams Beat Roshan 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $106.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Rampage | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4950.0% | $56 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between LGD Gaming and Inner Circle, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 12, 2026
- 06:57 AMSIsippaduke$43.46
Bought 53 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.82
- 05:46 AMHAHawkSpirit$6.80
Bought 40 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.17
- 05:46 AMHAHawkSpirit$7.20
Bought 40 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.18
- 05:30 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.204817 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.83
- 05:30 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.204817 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.83
- 04:14 AMYOyouyiC$85.00
Bought 499.99 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.17
- 04:08 AMWAwanone365$2.77
Bought 3.297618 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.84
- 04:07 AMANanimal.bean$227.23
Bought 1336.66 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.17
- 04:05 AMANanimal.bean$165.26
Bought 972.12 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.17
- 03:27 AMYOyouyiC$1.70
Bought 10 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.17
- 03:24 AMWAwanone365$2.77
Bought 3.297618 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.84
- 03:24 AMYOyouyiC$241.70
Bought 1421.76 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.17
常見問題
目前市場對「Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - More Markets」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?（9,000%），以及 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?（5,250%）。該市場總成交量已達 $185.4K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。