Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

$15K Vol
2026年7月18日
Active
機率趨勢
BetBoom Team 74.5%
Vici Gaming 25.5%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 7,450% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 1 Winner 以 6,850% 位居第二,Game 2 Winner 以 6,850% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $15K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (7,450%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,450¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $14.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 1 Winner (6,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 1 Winner 保持著 6,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,850¢。
  • Game 2 Winner (6,850%):以 6,850% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Any Player Rampage (6,250%)、Any Player Ultra Kill (5,750%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,450%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Ends in Daytime 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner7450.0%$14.2K7450¢-7350¢
2Game 1 Winner6850.0%$916850¢-6750¢
3Game 2 Winner6850.0%$16850¢-6750¢
4Any Player Rampage6250.0%$106250¢-6150¢
5Any Player Ultra Kill5750.0%5750¢-5650¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
7Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
9Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
11Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)4850.0%$6924850¢-4750¢
12O/U 2.5 Games4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
14Both Teams Beat Roshan3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
15Any Player Ultra Kill3000.0%3000¢-2900¢
16Any Player Ultra Kill3000.0%3000¢-2900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
19Any Player Rampage900.0%$10900¢-800¢
20Any Player Rampage750.0%$10750¢-650¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 1 match between BetBoom Team and Vici Gaming in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 18 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against Vici Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against BetBoom Team.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 7,450% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 1 Winner(6,850%),以及 Game 2 Winner(6,850%)。該市場總成交量已達 $15K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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