Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - More Markets

$1.1M Vol
2026年7月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Liquid 100.0%
Aurora 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Both Teams Beat Roshan 以壓倒性的 9,000% 獲勝機率主導市場；First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,000% 位居第二，Any Player Ultra Kill 以 1,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.1M，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%)：Both Teams Beat Roshan 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,000¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,000%)：作為最可行的替代選項，First Blood in Game 2? 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
  • Any Player Ultra Kill (1,000%)：以 1,000% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Any Player Ultra Kill 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 Any Player Rampage (1,000%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Any Player Rampage 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
2First Blood in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
4Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢

裁決規則

More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Aurora and Team Liquid, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 11, 2026

  • 08:18 AM
    SIsippaduke
    $25.35

    Bought 39 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.65

  • 07:57 AM
    SIsippaduke
    $6.44

    Bought 10.06 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 07:52 AM
    ——
    $49.91

    Bought 77.98 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 07:47 AM
    SIsippaduke
    $40.96

    Bought 64 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 07:43 AM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 07:42 AM
    ——
    $19.90

    Bought 32.096773 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 07:09 AM
    SISilverLev
    $70.00

    Bought 112.903224 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 07:05 AM
    SMsmiigul
    $4.95

    Bought 8.114753 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.61

  • 07:05 AM
    SISilverLev
    $231.00

    Bought 378.688523 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.61

  • 07:02 AM
    NINirvanaRebirth
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 06:48 AM
    DUDualchip
    $244.58

    Sold 394.48 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 06:22 AM
    0X0x9332506cf9094860D30047103bf7Fe7F02A1A3db-1771083194908
    $10.00

    Bought 26.315788 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner at 0.38

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - More Markets」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,000% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 First Blood in Game 2?（9,000%），以及 Any Player Ultra Kill（1,000%）。該市場總成交量已達 $1.1M，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始