
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
核心摘要
根據「Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Draw 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Aurora 以 5% 位居第二,Team Liquid 以 5% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $89.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Draw (9,995%):Draw 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $6.6K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Aurora (5%):作為最可行的替代選項,Aurora 保持著 5% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5¢。
- Team Liquid (5%):以 5% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Team Liquid 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Draw | 9995.0% | $6.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Aurora | 5.0% | $33.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 3 | Team Liquid | 5.0% | $49.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This event refers to the Dota 2 best-of-two series between Aurora and Team Liquid in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 11 at 7:30AM ET.
The series can end in exactly one of three outcomes: Aurora winning both games (2-0), a draw (1-1), or Team Liquid winning both games (2-0). The market matching the final series result will resolve to "Yes" and the other markets will resolve to "No".
If the series is postponed, the markets will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, the draw market will resolve "Yes".
The resolution source for this event will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 11, 2026
- 08:13 AMARartsonx$1,001.03
Bought 2327.965812 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.43
- 07:50 AMKUKuntro2$252.00
Bought 300 No for Team Liquid to win 2-0? at 0.84
- 07:35 AMIAIanfreta$2.00
Bought 2.38095 No for Team Liquid to win 2-0? at 0.84
- 07:34 AMIMimmortals$30.29
Bought 72.117856 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.42
- 07:26 AMTRtrader-54c009e3$4.58
Bought 7.51 No for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.61
- 07:24 AMECEchoRain$30.51
Bought 50.016392 No for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.61
- 07:08 AM0X0x9740b2f96F6A43d13E06efFD61B58246aD799b3a-1776064617980$20.00
Bought 48.780486 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.41
- 07:03 AMGHghostviolet$9.94
Bought 24.25 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.41
- 07:03 AMBEBeatYou6$8.98
Bought 14.962294 No for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.6
- 07:00 AMREremingt0n$7.29
Bought 18.22 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.4
- 07:00 AMWAwapol$176.07
Sold 429.45 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.41
- 07:00 AMREremingt0n$2.40
Bought 5.99 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.4
常見問題
目前市場對「Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Draw 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Aurora(5%),以及 Team Liquid(5%)。該市場總成交量已達 $89.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
