
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以 9,945% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 以 9,945% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.7M,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? (9,995%):Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $15 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,945%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 保持著 9,945% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,945¢。
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,945%):以 9,945% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? (9,945%)、Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (5,050%),以及 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Beat Roshan 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 9995.0% | $15 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 9945.0% | — | 9945¢ | -9845¢ |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 9945.0% | — | 9945¢ | -9845¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 9945.0% | — | 9945¢ | -9845¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | $670 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $1.2M | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between 1win and Team Yandex, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 12, 2026
- 08:01 AMFCFciaf42$11.63
Bought 26.431817 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
- 08:01 AM——$2.12
Bought 4.81818 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
- 08:01 AM——$1.00
Bought 2.272726 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
- 08:01 AMYOyouyiC$302.10
Bought 530 Team Yandex for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.57
- 07:54 AM——$1.00
Bought 2.272726 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner at 0.44
- 07:54 AMWAWaveo$23.89
Sold 55.55 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner at 0.43
- 07:54 AM——$1.00
Bought 2.272726 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner at 0.44
- 07:54 AMFCFciaf42$2.63
Bought 5.977271 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner at 0.44
- 07:54 AMWAWaveo$23.89
Sold 55.55 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.43
- 07:54 AM——$1.00
Bought 2.272726 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
- 07:54 AMFCFciaf42$2.63
Bought 5.977271 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
- 07:54 AM——$1.00
Bought 2.272726 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
常見問題
目前市場對「Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - More Markets」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?(9,945%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?(9,945%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.7M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
