
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
核心摘要
根據「Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以壓倒性的 6,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Match Winner 以 6,300% 位居第二,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $350.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (6,950%):Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $108 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Match Winner (6,300%):作為最可行的替代選項,Match Winner 保持著 6,300% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,300¢。
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (5,000%)、Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-9.5) vs MIBR (+9.5) (5,000%),以及 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 6950.0% | $108 | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 6300.0% | $335.6K | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 3 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-9.5) vs MIBR (+9.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) | 4950.0% | $7.1K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between B8 and MIBR in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win the match against MIBR.
This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against B8.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 1, 2026
- 08:13 AM0X0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7$115.47
Bought 312.08 B8 for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) at 0.37
- 08:09 AM0X0x034a286376436F5b03da07975f6180621bDa9Ddc-1774656201272$50.00
Bought 111.11111 MIBR for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.45
- 08:04 AMJKJKBL$140.00
Bought 250 B8 for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.56
- 08:04 AMZZzzaqq2$2.80
Bought 5 B8 for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.56
- 07:57 AMGEGENABYKI$342.19
Sold 777.7 MIBR for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.44
- 07:56 AMGEGENABYKI$499.95
Bought 1111 MIBR for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.45
- 07:49 AMFOFortunaFelix$1.00
Bought 2.222221 MIBR for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.45
- 07:49 AMKOKoalaBeater$5.00
Bought 11.11111 MIBR for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.45
- 07:49 AMKEkeytie$11.20
Bought 20 B8 for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.56
- 07:45 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.785713 B8 for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.56
- 07:39 AMPApaopao886$2.80
Bought 5 B8 for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.56
- 07:39 AM0X0x30daE004e6B74B30213Aa4577658FED52eA1A11d-1778652995433$400.00
Bought 888.888887 MIBR for Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.45
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 6,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Match Winner(6,300%),以及 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $350.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
