Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)

根據「Big Brother Season 28: Thursday First Eviction (July 9)」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Ashley Trail 以壓倒性的 4,950% 獲勝機率主導市場；Barrett Pfeiffer 以 4,950% 位居第二，Chuk Anyanwu 以 4,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• Ashley Trail (4,950%)：Ashley Trail 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,950¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• Barrett Pfeiffer (4,950%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Barrett Pfeiffer 保持著 4,950% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,950¢。
• Chuk Anyanwu (4,950%)：以 4,950% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Chuk Anyanwu 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

• 替代選項：包括 Drew Campbell (4,950%)、Haley Thogmartin (4,950%)，以及 Jason De Puy (4,950%)。
• 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Kamu Kirk 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is evicted from Big Brother season 28 on any episode which airs on July 9, 2026, ET.

An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition.

Evictions will qualify regardless of if they are within a standard eviction cycle, as a part of a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance, so long as they take place within the structure of the competition.

If two individuals are evicted at exactly the same time, this market will resolve based on the candidate whose listed first name comes first alphabetically.

Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count.

If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction.

This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by July 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Eviction”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28.