Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place

2026年10月2日
Active
機率趨勢
Ashley Trail 50.0%
Barrett Pfeiffer 50.0%
Chuk Anyanwu 50.0%
Drew Campbell 50.0%
Haley Thogmartin 50.0%

核心摘要

根據「Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Barrett Pfeiffer 以壓倒性的 4,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Drew Campbell 以 4,950% 位居第二,Haley Thogmartin 以 4,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Barrett Pfeiffer (4,950%):Barrett Pfeiffer 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Drew Campbell (4,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Drew Campbell 保持著 4,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,950¢。
  • Haley Thogmartin (4,950%):以 4,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Haley Thogmartin 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Jason De Puy (4,950%)、LaTrice Verrett (4,950%),以及 Lyric Medeiros (4,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Mallory Aurichio 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Barrett Pfeiffer4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
2Drew Campbell4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
3Haley Thogmartin4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4Jason De Puy4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
5LaTrice Verrett4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
6Lyric Medeiros4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7Mallory Aurichio4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8Melody Morris4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Rome Seymour4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Taylor Brown4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Yash Patel4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Ashley Trail4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Chuk Anyanwu4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14Kamu Kirk4850.0%4850¢-4750¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to the contestant who comes in second-place on Big Brother season 28.

If Big Brother season 28 concludes without a second-place finisher, or if Big Brother season 28 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The named individuals will be primarily ranked by order of elimination. If two or more individuals are eliminated exactly simultaneously, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the individuals' listed first names. This market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother season 28.

常見問題

目前市場對「Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Barrett Pfeiffer 以 4,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Drew Campbell(4,950%),以及 Haley Thogmartin(4,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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