
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta
核心摘要
根據「Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以壓倒性的 7,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 以 6,550% 位居第二,Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 以 6,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $971.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (7,500%):Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $2.6K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 (6,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 保持著 6,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,550¢。
- Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 (6,550%):以 6,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner (6,500%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 38.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 40.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 7500.0% | $2.6K | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 2 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 | 6550.0% | $1.6K | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 3 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 4 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner | 6500.0% | $103 | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 5 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $70.9K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 38.5 | 5000.0% | $143 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 40.5 | 5000.0% | $4 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 4050.0% | $885.3K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 12 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 2495.0% | $2.4K | 2495¢ | -2395¢ |
| 13 | Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 2465.0% | $1.7K | 2465¢ | -2365¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.
This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Rafael Jodar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 1, 2026
- 09:01 PMR9R980209$0.00
Sold 65.21 Jodar for Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5) at 0
- 09:00 PM——$100.00
Bought 250 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4
- 09:00 PM0X0x0CA116849796c39E72DF4929E536402f75dE2F58-1782413481877$1.96
Bought 4.9 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4
- 08:59 PM0X0x0CA116849796c39E72DF4929E536402f75dE2F58-1782413481877$1.96
Bought 4.9 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4
- 08:59 PMNInick10s$392.10
Sold 653.5 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.6
- 08:58 PM0X0x0CA116849796c39E72DF4929E536402f75dE2F58-1782413481877$1.96
Bought 4.9 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4
- 08:57 PMHHHhnm$122.61
Sold 204.35 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.6
- 08:57 PMGOGoodShopper$2.59
Bought 4.25 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.61
- 08:56 PM0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872$8.00
Sold 20.51 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.39
- 08:54 PMKAKatetsulmao$20.00
Bought 50 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4
- 08:53 PM——$0.98
Sold 2.5 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.39
- 08:53 PMHUhuntermax1224$15.43
Bought 25.295079 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.61
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常見問題
目前市場對「Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 7,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5(6,550%),以及 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5(6,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $971.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
