Another World Cup card reversed?

$228 Vol
2026年7月20日
Active
機率趨勢
No 96.5%
Yes 3.5%

核心摘要

根據「Another World Cup card reversed?」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,No 以壓倒性的 9,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Yes 以 350% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $228,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • No (9,650%):No 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Yes (350%):作為最可行的替代選項,Yes 保持著 350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 350¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1No9650.0%9650¢-9550¢
2Yes350.0%350¢-250¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a yellow card or red card, or a suspension resulting from such a card, is reversed in the FIFA World Cup between market creation and the beginning of the 2026 World Cup final match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying reversal refers to an official decision to overturn or rescind such a card, or to suspend the implementation of a player or coach suspension resulting from the card, including accumulated yellow-card suspensions. In-game decisions to overturn a call on the field (e.g., through VAR) will not qualify.

Once a qualifying reversal has been officially issued, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of subsequent appeals of the reversal.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Another World Cup card reversed?」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,No 以 9,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Yes(350%)。該市場總成交量已達 $228,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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