2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 9th Overall

2026年7月13日
Active
機率趨勢
Grady Emerson 49.0%
Roch Cholowsky 49.0%
Vahn Lackey 49.0%
Jackson Flora 49.0%
Jacob Lombard 49.0%

核心摘要

根據「2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 9th Overall」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cole Prosek 以壓倒性的 4,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Andrew Williamson 以 4,950% 位居第二,Ty Head 以 4,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cole Prosek (4,950%):Cole Prosek 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Andrew Williamson (4,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Andrew Williamson 保持著 4,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,950¢。
  • Ty Head (4,950%):以 4,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Ty Head 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Grady Emerson (4,900%)、Roch Cholowsky (4,900%),以及 Vahn Lackey (4,900%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Jackson Flora 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cole Prosek4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
2Andrew Williamson4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
3Ty Head4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4Grady Emerson4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
5Roch Cholowsky4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
6Vahn Lackey4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
7Jackson Flora4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
8Jacob Lombard4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
9Eric Booth Jr.4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
10Drew Burress4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
11Gio Rojas4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
12Justin Lebron4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Tyler Bell4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14Ryder Helfrick4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
15Derek Curiel4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
16Trevor Condon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
17Chris Hacopian4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
18Cameron Flukey4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
19Jared Grindlinger4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
20Hunter Dietz4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
21Ace Reese4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
22AJ Gracia4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
23Liam Peterson4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
24Bo Lowrance4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
25Sawyer Strosnider4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
26Brody Bumila4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
27Carson Bolemon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
28Tegan Kuhns4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
29Cole Carlon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
30Daniel Jackson4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
31Aiden Robbins4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
32Zion Rose4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
33Logan Reddemann4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
34Aiden Ruiz4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
35Caden Sorrell4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
36Landon Thome4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
37Cade Townsend4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
38Mason Edwards4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
39Taj Marchand4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
40Gavin Grahovac4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
41James Clark4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
42Taylor Rabe4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
43Eric Becker4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
44Logan Hughes4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
45Coleman Borthwick4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
46Jack Radel4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
47Logan Schmidt4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
48Will Brick4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
49Chris Rembert4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
50Jarren Advincula4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
51Rocco Maniscalco4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
52Wes Mendes4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
53Tyler Spangler4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
54Archer Horn4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
55Connor Comeau4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
56Jensen Hirschkorn4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
57Ben Blair4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
58Jake Brown4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
59Kaden Waechter2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
60Chase Brunson2700.0%2700¢-2600¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted ninth overall in the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 9th Overall」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cole Prosek 以 4,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Andrew Williamson(4,950%),以及 Ty Head(4,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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