Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics

$138.6K Vol
2026年7月12日
Resolved
概率趋势
Washington Mystics 67.5%
Seattle Storm 32.5%

核心摘要

根据「Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 159.5 以压倒性的 6,950% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 161.5 以 6,550% 位居第二，O/U 160.5 以 6,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $138.6K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 159.5 (6,950%)：O/U 159.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,950¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $6.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 161.5 (6,550%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 161.5 保持着 6,550% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,550¢。
  • O/U 160.5 (6,500%)：以 6,500% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 160.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 162.5 (6,050%)、Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics (5,250%)，以及 Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 159.56950.0%$6.8K6950¢-6850¢
2O/U 161.56550.0%$14.4K6550¢-6450¢
3O/U 160.56500.0%$1.1K6500¢-6400¢
4O/U 162.56050.0%$5.7K6050¢-5950¢
5Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics5250.0%$85.1K5250¢-5150¢
6Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.55050.0%$55050¢-4950¢
7Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Shakira Austin: Points O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Shakira Austin: Points O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16Awa Fam: Points O/U 11.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
17Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.54900.0%$1064900¢-4800¢
18Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.54900.0%$374900¢-4800¢
19Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.54900.0%$94900¢-4800¢
20Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
21Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
22Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
23Spread -3.53750.0%$7.9K3750¢-3650¢
24Spread -4.53350.0%$10.2K3350¢-3250¢
25Spread -5.53100.0%$8.0K3100¢-3000¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET:

If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".

If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 12, 2026

  • 07:58 AM
    COCoocooCal
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 at 0.5

  • 07:51 AM
    0X0xD9ae604B0cC3800A9E0f5A2f4B9755281bC95310-1780434400156
    $14.98

    Bought 30.58 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 at 0.49

  • 07:39 AM
    0X0x688df8e9F359Dc770f43aAa8f612F832F2B51117-1746567015912
    $1.00

    Bought 1.85185 Yes for Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.5 at 0.54

  • 07:38 AM
    0X0x688df8e9F359Dc770f43aAa8f612F832F2B51117-1746567015912
    $1.70

    Bought 3.148147 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5 at 0.54

  • 06:46 AM
    SPSperas
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Washington Mystics for Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 06:41 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $3.00

    Bought 6.25 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 at 0.48

  • 06:41 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $3.00

    Bought 6.666665 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5 at 0.45

  • 06:41 AM
    BABagwall
    $1.09

    Bought 2.43 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5 at 0.45

  • 06:41 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5873 Washington Mystics for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.63

  • 05:37 AM
    ITItsMrRex
    $1.00

    Bought 2.631577 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.38

  • 05:25 AM
    0X0x8a11f53900558381Bf4cF1E3b8D5A8269E6B9282-1775508104506
    $9.69

    Bought 15.38 Washington Mystics for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.63

  • 05:13 AM
    TNtntdynamite
    $3.60

    Bought 5.714283 Washington Mystics for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.63

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

IC1
ic4cream
Event PnL
+$94.95
Volume
$3,672.00
Positions
Washington Mystics
BI2
BillBenter2026
Event PnL
-$147.77
Volume
$3,630.96
Positions
Seattle Storm
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$98.30
Volume
$3,137.43
Positions
Washington Mystics
AN4
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$81.16
Volume
$2,273.98
Positions
Washington Mystics
GA5
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Seattle Storm
AM6
amen888
Event PnL
-$21.74
Volume
$998.98
Positions
Seattle Storm
DE7
dex57
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$800.84
Positions
Seattle Storm
AL8
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$16.67
Volume
$663.98
Positions
Seattle Storm

常见问题

当前市场对「Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 159.5 以 6,950% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 161.5（6,550%），以及 O/U 160.5（6,500%）。该市场总成交量已达 $138.6K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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