New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo

$272.3K Vol
2026年7月12日
Active
概率趋势
New York Liberty 51.0%
Toronto Tempo 49.0%

核心摘要

根据「New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 175.5 以压倒性的 5,700% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 176.5 以 5,600% 位居第二,Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $272.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 175.5 (5,700%):O/U 175.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,700¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $22.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 176.5 (5,600%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 176.5 保持着 5,600% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,600¢。
  • Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 17.5 (5,000%)、Marine Johannès: Points O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 2.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 13.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 175.55700.0%$22.4K5700¢-5600¢
2O/U 176.55600.0%$32.9K5600¢-5500¢
3Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Marine Johannès: Points O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
12Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Pauline Astier: Points O/U 9.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
15Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
16Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 6.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
17Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
18Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
19Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 7.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
20Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.54900.0%$174900¢-4800¢
21Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
22Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
23Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
24Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
25O/U 177.54900.0%$18.7K4900¢-4800¢
26Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
27Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
28Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
29Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
30Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
31O/U 178.54800.0%$48.3K4800¢-4700¢
32New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo4350.0%$122.7K4350¢-4250¢
33Spread -7.51650.0%$14.0K1650¢-1550¢
34Spread -6.51500.0%$15.7K1500¢-1400¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET:

If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty".

If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 12, 2026

  • 07:54 AM
    0X0xD9ae604B0cC3800A9E0f5A2f4B9755281bC95310-1780434400156
    $15.00

    Bought 30 Under for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5 at 0.5

  • 07:13 AM
    SASantyclaus
    $6.73

    Bought 23.2 Toronto Tempo for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo at 0.29

  • 07:08 AM
    VAvaldifassa
    $2.00

    Bought 2.777775 New York Liberty for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo at 0.72

  • 06:55 AM
    BRbravewarriorrrrrr
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5 at 0.5

  • 06:53 AM
    BRbravewarriorrrrrr
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5 at 0.5

  • 06:51 AM
    BRbravewarriorrrrrr
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5 at 0.5

  • 06:47 AM
    BRbravewarriorrrrrr
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5 at 0.5

  • 06:38 AM
    BABagwall
    $53.75

    Bought 105.39 Over for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5 at 0.51

  • 06:38 AM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $60.18

    Bought 118 Over for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5 at 0.51

  • 06:37 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 9.8 Over for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5 at 0.51

  • 06:34 AM
    0X0xFb0C8b014Cc976a606E924B5Fc4A93B31Fd98c72-1782911846364
    $306.00

    Bought 600 Over for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5 at 0.51

  • 05:53 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $40.47

    Bought 57 New York Liberty for New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo at 0.71

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$5.62
Volume
$2,793.10
Positions
New York Liberty
QU2
QuentinChen
Event PnL
+$12.73
Volume
$2,393.15
Positions
Toronto Tempo
PU3
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$7.81
Volume
$1,700.31
Positions
New York Liberty
AM4
amen888
Event PnL
+$5.97
Volume
$998.90
Positions
Toronto Tempo
DO5
DoomScrollxx
Event PnL
+$2.40
Volume
$479.99
Positions
Toronto Tempo
TR6
traxwnba
Event PnL
+$1.75
Volume
$350.00
Positions
Toronto Tempo
RU7
RUBICK777
Event PnL
-$1.73
Volume
$346.62
Positions
New York Liberty
LI8
liquidityp00l
Event PnL
+$1.67
Volume
$333.33
Positions
Toronto Tempo

常见问题

当前市场对「New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 175.5 以 5,700% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 176.5(5,600%),以及 Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $272.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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