Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks

$429.2K Vol
2026年7月11日
Active
概率趋势
Los Angeles Sparks 77.5%
Chicago Sky 22.5%

核心摘要

根据「Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 176.5 以压倒性的 9,700% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 178.5 以 9,550% 位居第二，O/U 179.5 以 9,535% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $429.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 176.5 (9,700%)：O/U 176.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,700¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $56.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 178.5 (9,550%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 178.5 保持着 9,550% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,550¢。
  • O/U 179.5 (9,535%)：以 9,535% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 179.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 177.5 (9,500%)、O/U 180.5 (9,450%)，以及 Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 (7,450%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread -1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 176.59700.0%$56.9K9700¢-9600¢
2O/U 178.59550.0%$5.8K9550¢-9450¢
3O/U 179.59535.0%$4.7K9535¢-9435¢
4O/U 177.59500.0%$6.6K9500¢-9400¢
5O/U 180.59450.0%$3.7K9450¢-9350¢
6Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.57450.0%$57450¢-7350¢
7Spread -1.56900.0%$15.0K6900¢-6800¢
8Spread -2.56400.0%$12.7K6400¢-6300¢
9Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.56300.0%$56300¢-6200¢
10Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.55050.0%$435050¢-4950¢
11Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
20Dearica Hamby: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks2350.0%$326.1K2350¢-2250¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 10 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky".

If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 10, 2026

  • 08:01 PM
    GNgnuisnot
    $8.52

    Bought 18.52 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5) at 0.46

  • 08:01 PM
    GNgnuisnot
    $2.80

    Bought 5 Under for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5 at 0.56

  • 07:22 PM
    0X0x4f5BdB579d7986795d031e0ae53184453c6FD902-1781525424243
    $2.80

    Bought 5.283017 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:21 PM
    HIhibame69
    $24.08

    Bought 45.433961 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:20 PM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173912 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5) at 0.46

  • 07:16 PM
    0X0x2e14E02C02CEb5B6e0600b4d4dA2E881d60f2cC7-1782676444346
    $2.24

    Bought 4.226414 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:13 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 10.20408 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 07:13 PM
    ——
    $347.43

    Bought 709.040815 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 07:02 PM
    0X0x3564066a9173d591B36aE4924597EA628915c4CE-1781397572133
    $14.00

    Bought 26.415093 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:02 PM
    LUluke2255
    $2.24

    Bought 4.226414 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:02 PM
    MAmatanlevi
    $1.68

    Bought 3.16981 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:02 PM
    SCscale.biz
    $8.40

    Bought 15.849055 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$124.32
Volume
$35,307.66
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
LP2
lpcapital1
Event PnL
-$181.58
Volume
$9,304.48
Positions
Chicago Sky
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$56.75
Volume
$8,859.67
Positions
Chicago SkyLos Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks
QU4
QuentinChen
Event PnL
-$40.00
Volume
$7,999.98
Positions
Chicago Sky
AN5
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$208.73
Volume
$6,615.98
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
SH6
shxbyron1
Event PnL
-$31.41
Volume
$6,282.48
Positions
Chicago Sky
WA7
wapol
Event PnL
+$99.03
Volume
$6,187.59
Positions
Los Angeles SparksOverUnder
SE8
sentrio
Event PnL
+$126.20
Volume
$4,423.35
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks

常见问题

当前市场对「Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 176.5 以 9,700% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 178.5（9,550%），以及 O/U 179.5（9,535%）。该市场总成交量已达 $429.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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