What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of June 29 2026?

$72.4K Vol
2026年7月4日
Active
概率趋势
↓ $192 100.0%
↑ $196 99.6%
↑ $200 68.5%
↑ $204 30.0%
↓ $188 16.0%

核心摘要

根据「What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of June 29 2026?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，↑ $200 以压倒性的 5,400% 获胜概率主导市场；↑ $204 以 3,350% 位居第二，↓ $188 以 1,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $72.4K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • ↑ $200 (5,400%)：↑ $200 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,400¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • ↑ $204 (3,350%)：作为最可行的替代选项，↑ $204 保持着 3,350% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 3,350¢。
  • ↓ $188 (1,550%)：以 1,550% 的概率位列第三，市场对 ↓ $188 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 ↑ $208 (1,500%)、↓ $184 (700%)，以及 ↑ $212 (605%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 ↓ $180 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1↑ $2005400.0%$1.5K5400¢-5300¢
2↑ $2043350.0%$1.9K3350¢-3250¢
3↓ $1881550.0%$6191550¢-1450¢
4↑ $2081500.0%$4711500¢-1400¢
5↓ $184700.0%$615700¢-600¢
6↑ $212605.0%$1605¢-505¢
7↓ $180400.0%$405400¢-300¢
8↑ $216350.0%$1350¢-250¢
9↓ $172260.0%$104260¢-160¢
10↑ $220250.0%$1250¢-150¢
11↓ $168230.0%$218230¢-130¢
12↓ $176175.0%$101175¢-75¢

裁决规则

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of June 29 2026?

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:27 AM
    SHshowmethemoneeeeey
    $164.42

    Bought 188.9885 No for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.87

  • 07:10 AM
    ——
    $1.91

    Sold 2.89 No for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.66

  • 07:09 AM
    0X0x2A9420F69632a70D2762D1af9ac519C699f40Ac3-1781677603204
    $1.91

    Sold 2.9 No for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.66

  • 07:08 AM
    0X0x2A9420F69632a70D2762D1af9ac519C699f40Ac3-1781677603204
    $2.00

    Bought 2.898548 No for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.69

  • 07:08 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 2.898548 No for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.69

  • 07:02 AM
    0X0x2A9420F69632a70D2762D1af9ac519C699f40Ac3-1781677603204
    $1.91

    Sold 2.89 No for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.66

  • 07:02 AM
    0X0x2A9420F69632a70D2762D1af9ac519C699f40Ac3-1781677603204
    $2.00

    Bought 2.898549 No for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.69

  • 05:39 AM
    0X0xd46e98964fBAD70C3daBC925fD2aF593Cab829db-1782713974728
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Yes for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.31

  • 05:13 AM
    TEtest21310
    $3.00

    Bought 3.0303 No for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $172 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.99

  • 04:56 AM
    POPollProponent
    $3.72

    Sold 62 Yes for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.06

  • 04:55 AM
    POPollProponent
    $0.35

    Sold 5 Yes for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.07

  • 04:49 AM
    RORocamado
    $1.09

    Bought 1.116733 No for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of June 29 2026? at 0.98

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SU1
superstonksbro
Event PnL
-$212.77
Volume
$65,939.71
Positions
NoNoNo+3
PE2
pennedreadful
Event PnL
-$62.27
Volume
$1,274.68
Positions
YesYesYes+7
LI3
lilesto2
Event PnL
-$8.27
Volume
$684.99
Positions
NoNoNo+2
PO4
PollProponent
Event PnL
+$0.54
Volume
$492.68
Positions
YesNoNo+3
TH5
thanksforplayin
Event PnL
+$7.65
Volume
$456.00
Positions
NoNoNo
DR6
Dr.PNL
Event PnL
+$9.20
Volume
$255.00
Positions
NoNoNo
SH7
showmethemoneeeeey
Event PnL
+$10.86
Volume
$224.17
Positions
No
AR8
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Event PnL
+$4.00
Volume
$200.00
Positions
Yes

常见问题

当前市场对「What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of June 29 2026?」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，↑ $200 以 5,400% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 ↑ $204（3,350%），以及 ↓ $188（1,550%）。该市场总成交量已达 $72.4K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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