Will MicroStrategy announce selling any Bitcoin by ___?

根据「Will MicroStrategy announce selling any Bitcoin by ___?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，December 31, 2026 以压倒性的 6,750% 获胜概率主导市场；September 30, 2026 以 6,500% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• December 31, 2026 (6,750%)：December 31, 2026 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,750¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• September 30, 2026 (6,500%)：作为最可行的替代选项，September 30, 2026 保持着 6,500% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,500¢。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Strategy Inc., formerly known as MicroStrategy, announces that they have sold any Bitcoin by the date in the title, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual sells were made.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy (https://x.com/Strategy) or Michael Saylor (https://x.com/saylor).

For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases