Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?

根据「Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Abdul El-Sayed 以压倒性的 7,350% 获胜概率主导市场；Haley Stevens 以 4,450% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• Abdul El-Sayed (7,350%)：Abdul El-Sayed 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,350¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• Haley Stevens (4,450%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Haley Stevens 保持着 4,450% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,450¢。

The Democratic Primary to contest the 2026 Michigan Senate Election is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate Mallory McMorrow endorses in that election.

An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be made in the context of the race.

If Mallory McMorrow does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mallory McMorrow or one of her representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Mallory McMorrow's endorsement.