Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

$977 Vol
2026年7月4日
Active
概率趋势
Shopify Rebellion 91.5%
Outlast 8.5%

核心摘要

根据「Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Shopify Rebellion 以压倒性的 9,150% 获胜概率主导市场;Outlast 以 850% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $977,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Shopify Rebellion (9,150%):Shopify Rebellion 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,150¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Outlast (850%):作为最可行的替代选项,Outlast 保持着 850% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 850¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Shopify Rebellion9150.0%9150¢-9050¢
2Outlast850.0%850¢-750¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Shopify Rebellion and Outlast in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 5:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Outlast.

This market will resolve to "Outlast" if Outlast win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

常见问题

当前市场对「Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Shopify Rebellion 以 9,150% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Outlast(850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $977,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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