Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox

$382.2K Vol
2026年7月8日
Active
概率趋势
Boston Red Sox 52.5%
Washington Nationals 47.5%

核心摘要

根据「Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 5.5 以压倒性的 6,150% 获胜概率主导市场;1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 以 5,050% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $382.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 5.5 (6,150%):O/U 5.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,150¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 (5,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 保持着 5,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,050¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%)、1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 (5,000%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 5.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
21st 5 Innings Spread -2.55050.0%$1385050¢-4950¢
31st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$1605000¢-4900¢
41st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$1605000¢-4900¢
51st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$1385000¢-4900¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%$1565000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%$385000¢-4900¢
11Extra Innings5000.0%$185000¢-4900¢
12Spread -1.55000.0%$16.8K5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 8.54850.0%$644850¢-4750¢
14Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox4250.0%$289.8K4250¢-4150¢
15O/U 7.53750.0%$223750¢-3650¢
16Spread -1.53250.0%$16.8K3250¢-3150¢
17O/U 6.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
18O/U 9.52000.0%$74.1K2000¢-1900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 30 at 7:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:40 PM
    DODOGOK1NG
    $1.89

    Bought 7 Boston Red Sox for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.27

  • 08:37 PM
    $2.64

    Bought 6 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 08:36 PM
    $2.20

    Bought 5 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 08:35 PM
    $3.08

    Bought 7 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 08:35 PM
    $2.20

    Bought 5 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 08:32 PM
    $1.48

    Bought 3.363635 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 08:32 PM
    RIriverskew
    $741.43

    Bought 1685.06 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 08:30 PM
    0X0xa02ceD1C992C5942D4cEa9B9b504ea96367fda7a-1780302100688
    $6.10

    Bought 13.863635 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 08:28 PM
    0X0x87A80EB7A2eE12E4bAcDE856B54449BD23cceb35-1779233611656
    $1.02

    Bought 1.888886 Under for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.54

  • 08:28 PM
    0X0x87A80EB7A2eE12E4bAcDE856B54449BD23cceb35-1779233611656
    $1.09

    Bought 2.477271 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 08:26 PM
    ODoddnectaryo
    $2.20

    Bought 5 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

  • 08:26 PM
    OLOlma
    $2.64

    Bought 6 Washington Nationals for Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.44

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

5E1
0x5e94…5ba1
Event PnL
+$391.46
Volume
$69,223.18
Positions
Boston Red Sox
OD2
Odzfx
Event PnL
+$29.65
Volume
$15,812.07
Positions
Under
4F3
0x4f2
Event PnL
-$71.02
Volume
$14,204.54
Positions
Washington Nationals
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$51.41
Volume
$13,806.90
Positions
Washington NationalsWashington NationalsOver
AN5
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$62.24
Volume
$12,129.52
Positions
Washington NationalsOver
BI6
biguser67
Event PnL
+$49.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Boston Red Sox
587
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
-$30.19
Volume
$6,282.85
Positions
Washington NationalsUnder
1W8
1winstreak1
Event PnL
-$26.83
Volume
$5,365.90
Positions
Washington Nationals

常见问题

当前市场对「Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 5.5 以 6,150% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5(5,050%),以及 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $382.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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