San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners - Player Props

$3.4K Vol
2026年7月20日
Active
概率趋势
Over 97.5%
Under 2.5%

核心摘要

根据「San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $3.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (9,995%):Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $2.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (9,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
  • Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (9,050%):以 9,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 (9,050%)、Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (9,050%),以及 Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.59995.0%$2.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
4Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 6.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
5Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 3.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
6Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 4.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
7Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 0.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
8Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.59000.0%$4709000¢-8900¢
9Drew Gilbert: Home Runs O/U 0.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Drew Gilbert: Home Runs O/U 1.51000.0%$101000¢-900¢
11Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 1.5995.0%995¢-895¢
12Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 1.5995.0%995¢-895¢
13Casey Schmitt: Home Runs O/U 1.5995.0%995¢-895¢
14Heliot Ramos: Home Runs O/U 1.5995.0%995¢-895¢
15Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 1.5995.0%995¢-895¢
16Rafael Devers: Home Runs O/U 1.5995.0%995¢-895¢
17Randy Arozarena: Home Runs O/U 1.5995.0%995¢-895¢
18Willy Adames: Home Runs O/U 1.5995.0%995¢-895¢
19Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
20Casey Schmitt: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
21Heliot Ramos: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
22Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
23Luis Arraez: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
24Luis Arraez: Home Runs O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
25Mitch Garver: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
26Mitch Garver: Home Runs O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
27Rafael Devers: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
28Randy Arozarena: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
29Willy Adames: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%$6950¢-850¢
30Drew Cavanaugh: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
31Drew Cavanaugh: Home Runs O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
32Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
33Josh Naylor: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
34Josh Naylor: Home Runs O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
35Jung Hoo Lee: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
36Jung Hoo Lee: Home Runs O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
37J.P. Crawford: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
38J.P. Crawford: Home Runs O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
39Weston Wilson: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
40Weston Wilson: Home Runs O/U 1.5900.0%900¢-800¢

裁决规则

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 19 at 4:10 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 19, 2026

  • 06:31 PM
    BUbudapestjazz
    $2.00

    Bought 2.17 Under for Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.92

  • 06:28 PM
    DRdreamliner
    $525.54

    Bought 2766 Over for Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.19

  • 05:49 PM
    KIkikidiboo
    $1.05

    Bought 5.84 Over for Willy Adames: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.18

  • 04:38 PM
    IMimumoccupancy
    $9.90

    Bought 10 Under for Drew Gilbert: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 0.99

  • 01:50 PM
    QRqrup
    $6.45

    Bought 15 Over for Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.43

  • 01:41 PM
    0X0x5Bc9A1d1ca6eD6D5D6A831A184b58A8E2078b2Ee-1770820727981
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545453 Over for Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.44

  • 01:41 PM
    LPlpcapital1
    $107.50

    Bought 250 Over for Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.43

  • 01:40 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $114.00

    Bought 200 Under for Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.57

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

DR1
dreamliner
Event PnL
+$2,175.47
Volume
$2,766.00
Positions
Over
BA2
Bagwell306
Event PnL
-$1,560.57
Volume
$1,989.00
Positions
Under
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$593.45
Volume
$1,204.55
Positions
UnderUnder
LP4
lpcapital1
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$250.00
Positions
Over
QR5
qrup
Event PnL
+$1.08
Volume
$215.00
Positions
Over
806
0x802EB
Event PnL
+$18.78
Volume
$126.13
Positions
Over
DZ7
dzodzoba777
Event PnL
-$8.59
Volume
$55.55
Positions
Under
OV8
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Event PnL
+$29.74
Volume
$32.84
Positions
UnderUnder

常见问题

当前市场对「San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners - Player Props」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5(9,050%),以及 Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5(9,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $3.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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