
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners - Player Props
核心摘要
根据「San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $3.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (9,995%):Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $2.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (9,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
- Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (9,050%):以 9,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 (9,050%)、Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (9,050%),以及 Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (9,050%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 9995.0% | $2.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 3 | Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 8 | Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 9000.0% | $470 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 9 | Drew Gilbert: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 10 | Drew Gilbert: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 1000.0% | $10 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 12 | Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 13 | Casey Schmitt: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 14 | Heliot Ramos: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 15 | Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 16 | Rafael Devers: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 17 | Randy Arozarena: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 18 | Willy Adames: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 19 | Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 20 | Casey Schmitt: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 21 | Heliot Ramos: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 22 | Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 23 | Luis Arraez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 24 | Luis Arraez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 25 | Mitch Garver: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 26 | Mitch Garver: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 27 | Rafael Devers: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 28 | Randy Arozarena: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 29 | Willy Adames: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | $6 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 30 | Drew Cavanaugh: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 31 | Drew Cavanaugh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 32 | Cole Young: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 33 | Josh Naylor: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 34 | Josh Naylor: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 35 | Jung Hoo Lee: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 36 | Jung Hoo Lee: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 37 | J.P. Crawford: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 38 | J.P. Crawford: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 39 | Weston Wilson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 40 | Weston Wilson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
裁决规则
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 19 at 4:10 PM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 19, 2026
- 06:31 PMBUbudapestjazz$2.00
Bought 2.17 Under for Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.92
- 06:28 PMDRdreamliner$525.54
Bought 2766 Over for Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.19
- 05:49 PMKIkikidiboo$1.05
Bought 5.84 Over for Willy Adames: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.18
- 04:38 PMIMimumoccupancy$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Drew Gilbert: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 0.99
- 01:50 PMQRqrup$6.45
Bought 15 Over for Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.43
- 01:41 PM0X0x5Bc9A1d1ca6eD6D5D6A831A184b58A8E2078b2Ee-1770820727981$2.00
Bought 4.545453 Over for Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.44
- 01:41 PMLPlpcapital1$107.50
Bought 250 Over for Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.43
- 01:40 PMVEVeryLucky888$114.00
Bought 200 Under for Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.57
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners - Player Props」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Bryce Eldridge: Home Runs O/U 0.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5(9,050%),以及 Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5(9,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $3.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
