
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals
核心摘要
根据「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 5.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -2.5 以 9,955% 位居第二,Extra Innings 以 50% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $358.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 5.5 (9,995%):O/U 5.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $10 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Spread -2.5 (9,955%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -2.5 保持着 9,955% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,955¢。
- Extra Innings (50%):以 50% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Extra Innings 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 5.5 | 9995.0% | $10 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -2.5 | 9955.0% | $10 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 3 | Extra Innings | 50.0% | $40 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 5 at 3:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.
This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 5, 2026
- 08:29 PMACacct-5$0.60
Sold 5 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.12
- 08:29 PMCACavaSoTasty$4.25
Bought 5 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.85
- 08:29 PMBABayStreetBoys$2.89
Bought 3.71 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.78
- 08:29 PMGRgreyhog$5.00
Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1
- 08:29 PM——$5.00
Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1
- 08:27 PMTOtorta.tech$3.45
Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.69
- 08:27 PMTOtorta.tech$3.45
Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.69
- 08:26 PMTOtorta.tech$10.35
Bought 15 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.69
- 08:26 PMWIwinwinwinnerb$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 0.99
- 08:26 PMYEyeagerist$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.99
- 08:26 PMWHwhynotchocolate$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.99
- 08:25 PM1W1winstreak1$2.96
Bought 4 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.74
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 5.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(9,955%),以及 Extra Innings(50%)。该市场总成交量已达 $358.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
