Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

$544.5K Vol
2026年7月14日
Active
概率趋势
Arizona Diamondbacks 94.8%
San Diego Padres 5.1%

核心摘要

根据「Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 7.5 以 9,550% 位居第二,Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres 以 9,495% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $544.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (9,950%):1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $149 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 7.5 (9,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 7.5 保持着 9,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,550¢。
  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres (9,495%):以 9,495% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -1.5 (9,300%)、O/U 8.5 (8,900%),以及 Spread -2.5 (8,900%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 6.59950.0%$1499950¢-9850¢
2O/U 7.59550.0%9550¢-9450¢
3Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres9495.0%$341.6K9495¢-9395¢
4Spread -1.59300.0%$19.6K9300¢-9200¢
5O/U 8.58900.0%$144.8K8900¢-8800¢
6Spread -2.58900.0%$318900¢-8800¢
7O/U 9.57700.0%$12.5K7700¢-7600¢
8O/U 10.56350.0%$4.7K6350¢-6250¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -2.56300.0%$526300¢-6200¢
101st 5 Innings Spread -1.55300.0%$325300¢-5200¢
11O/U 12.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
12O/U 11.55200.0%$1.5K5200¢-5100¢
13Spread -6.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
14Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.54900.0%$324900¢-4800¢
161st 5 Innings Spread -2.54900.0%$524900¢-4800¢
17Spread -5.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
18Extra Innings3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
19Spread -1.5240.0%$19.6K240¢-140¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for July 6 at 9:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 6, 2026

  • 09:09 PM
    DODOGOK1NG
    $6.27

    Bought 19 San Diego Padres for 1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 08:33 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $49.51

    Bought 93.420559 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.53

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $0.99

    Bought 1.869157 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.53

  • 08:27 PM
    $1.98

    Bought 3.738316 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.53

  • 08:22 PM
    SWswisstony
    $390.24

    Bought 1084 San Diego Padres for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 08:22 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $34.66

    Bought 65.401868 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.53

  • 08:22 PM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $0.99

    Bought 1.869157 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.53

  • 08:20 PM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $0.99

    Bought 1.869157 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.53

  • 08:20 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $27.70

    Bought 52.261681 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.53

  • 08:18 PM
    0X0x7a7A4F4b69D51FEfCcc592FBb8163C829782daF1-1782841049058
    $2.02

    Bought 4.291844 Arizona Diamondbacks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.47

  • 08:18 PM
    KEkeubie6
    $24.84

    Bought 46 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.54

  • 08:14 PM
    0X0x4b88c809e77716a8C42f6E2e0fBD60db4e83772C-1776422825573
    $3.96

    Bought 7.476634 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.53

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

OD1
Odzfx
Event PnL
+$247.09
Volume
$25,900.00
Positions
San Diego Padres
NI2
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$82.79
Volume
$16,528.87
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks
SE3
sentrio
Event PnL
-$78.87
Volume
$10,951.14
Positions
Arizona DiamondbacksOver
IC4
ic4cream
Event PnL
+$101.32
Volume
$6,439.00
Positions
San Diego Padres
SP5
sportmaster777
Event PnL
-$77.51
Volume
$5,628.09
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$18.10
Volume
$5,408.23
Positions
Arizona DiamondbacksArizona DiamondbacksOver
HI7
hi774c
Event PnL
+$31.31
Volume
$4,817.47
Positions
San Diego Padres
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$21.14
Volume
$4,229.00
Positions
Over

常见问题

当前市场对「Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 7.5(9,550%),以及 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres(9,495%)。该市场总成交量已达 $544.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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