LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$829.2K Vol
2026年7月27日
Active
概率趋势
Team Liquid 79.5%
Cloud9 12.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,950% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $829.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $419.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (9,950%)、Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (9,950%),以及 Match Winner (7,150%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$419.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon9950.0%$209950¢-9850¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$2309950¢-9850¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$1089950¢-9850¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$909950¢-9850¢
6Match Winner7150.0%$240.4K7150¢-7050¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
8O/U 2.5 Games6100.0%$6.1K6100¢-6000¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5050.0%$55050¢-4950¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
26First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%$74950¢-4850¢
28First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?4950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?3900.0%$1.2K3900¢-3800¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3900.0%3900¢-3800¢
32Game 2 Winner3850.0%$199.8K3850¢-3750¢
33Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)3850.0%$5.3K3850¢-3750¢
34Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)5.0%$2095¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Cloud9 in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Cloud9.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 26, 2026

  • 07:53 PM
    AUAutoOdds
    $78.54

    Bought 130.9 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.6

  • 07:53 PM
    MOmode
    $11.16

    Bought 18.6 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.6

  • 07:52 PM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666665 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.6

  • 07:52 PM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $7.50

    Bought 12.5 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.6

  • 07:52 PM
    MEMeur
    $1.16

    Bought 1.933332 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.6

  • 07:52 PM
    $4.85

    Bought 8.083332 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.6

  • 07:52 PM
    DIdiggachigga
    $9.78

    Bought 16.3 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.6

  • 07:52 PM
    BABaccaratRoulette
    $9,875.97

    Bought 16459.95 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.6

  • 07:45 PM
    MUmusndk
    $319.78

    Bought 561.017541 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 07:43 PM
    A4A46738
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666665 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.6

  • 07:38 PM
    RARain221
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.52

  • 07:33 PM
    KAKAWSYX
    $146.51

    Bought 299 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$12.98
Volume
$40,052.83
Positions
Team Liquid
QU2
quavoo
Event PnL
-$0.40
Volume
$25,014.00
Positions
Cloud9
ME3
MeiGuNiuBi
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Cloud9
BA4
BaccaratRoulette
Event PnL
-$165.24
Volume
$16,523.52
Positions
Team Liquid
SI5
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
+$67.03
Volume
$13,406.63
Positions
Team Liquid
FR6
fRibrenlc
Event PnL
+$115.64
Volume
$11,563.59
Positions
Cloud9
DR7
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$7.19
Volume
$10,303.20
Positions
Team Liquid
F38
f3arless
Event PnL
+$34.45
Volume
$10,215.80
Positions
Cloud9

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,950%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $829.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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