LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season

$116.8K Vol
2026年7月19日
Active
概率趋势
Zeu5 Esports 87.5%
SDM Tigres 12.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) 以压倒性的 7,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,500% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $116.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) (7,050%):Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 6,500% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,500¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):以 6,500% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,400%)、Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,100%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5)7050.0%$5.6K7050¢-6950¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6400.0%6400¢-6300¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
16O/U 2.5 Games2750.0%$2.1K2750¢-2650¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
19Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
20Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
21Game 1 Winner1850.0%$10.0K1850¢-1750¢
22Game 2 Winner1850.0%$12.2K1850¢-1750¢
23Match Winner1250.0%$86.9K1250¢-1150¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between SDM Tigres and Zeu5 Esports in the LRN Regular season, initially scheduled for July 18 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "SDM Tigres" if SDM Tigres win the match against Zeu5 Esports.

This market will resolve to "Zeu5 Esports" if Zeu5 Esports win the match against SDM Tigres.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 18, 2026

  • 08:01 AM
    AMam100
    $151.11

    Bought 193.73 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.78

  • 08:01 AM
    AMam100
    $148.20

    Bought 192.47 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.77

  • 08:01 AM
    AMam100
    $164.81

    Bought 245.98 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.67

  • 08:01 AM
    AMam100
    $296.40

    Bought 352.86 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.84

  • 07:39 AM
    $73.37

    Bought 87.345237 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.84

  • 07:39 AM
    WAWalmartShrimp
    $272.23

    Bought 1701.43 SDM Tigres for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.16

  • 07:21 AM
    $4.25

    Bought 5 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.85

  • 07:18 AM
    ALAllTheWhimsy
    $1.00

    Bought 6.25 SDM Tigres for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.16

  • 07:16 AM
    $4.00

    Bought 4.7 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.85

  • 06:51 AM
    LOLolDota
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 06:50 AM
    LOLolDota
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575755 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.66

  • 06:19 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 62.5 SDM Tigres for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.16

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$998.25
Volume
$40,928.34
Positions
Zeu5 EsportsZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+2
AL2
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$557.57
Volume
$12,721.69
Positions
SDM TigresSDM TigresSDM Tigres+1
ZZ3
Zzzz87
Event PnL
+$563.25
Volume
$10,554.89
Positions
Zeu5 Esports
BL4
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$255.33
Volume
$8,718.64
Positions
Zeu5 Esports
WA5
WalmartShrimp
Event PnL
+$12.95
Volume
$8,281.01
Positions
SDM TigresZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+1
FB6
0xFBE8…8436
Event PnL
-$78.20
Volume
$6,777.33
Positions
SDM TigresSDM TigresSDM Tigres+1
GO7
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$206.15
Volume
$5,123.61
Positions
Zeu5 EsportsZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+1
PO8
PontiusPilate
Event PnL
-$112.81
Volume
$4,738.80
Positions
SDM TigresSDM TigresSDM Tigres

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) 以 7,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,500%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,500%)。该市场总成交量已达 $116.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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