LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

$160.8K Vol
2026年7月19日
Active
概率趋势
Dplus KIA 70.5%
Karmine Corp 29.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 7,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 6,250% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 以 6,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $160.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,050%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 保持着 6,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,250¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? (6,250%):以 6,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (6,050%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,700%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,650%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7050.0%$5.4K7050¢-6950¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6250.0%$56250¢-6150¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?6250.0%$46250¢-6150¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?6050.0%$116050¢-5950¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5700.0%5700¢-5600¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5650.0%5650¢-5550¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5550.0%5550¢-5450¢
8Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)5250.0%$57.3K5250¢-5150¢
9First Blood in Game 2?5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
12First Blood in Game 4?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
16First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26First Blood in Game 5?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?4700.0%$164700¢-4600¢
31First Blood in Game 1?4600.0%$2004600¢-4500¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4600.0%$804600¢-4500¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4550.0%$414550¢-4450¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
36Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
37Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
38Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
39Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
40Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4250.0%$4.8K4250¢-4150¢
41Any Player Quadra Kill4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
42Any Player Quadra Kill4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
43Any Player Quadra Kill4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
44Game 3 Winner4000.0%$2994000¢-3900¢
45Game 2 Winner3900.0%$3523900¢-3800¢
46Game 1 Winner3850.0%$7.9K3850¢-3750¢
47Game 4 Winner3850.0%$273850¢-3750¢
48O/U 4.5 Games3350.0%$1.1K3350¢-3250¢
49Match Winner2950.0%$82.0K2950¢-2850¢
50Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)2550.0%$1.4K2550¢-2450¢
51Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
52Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
53Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Karmine Corp and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 8:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Dplus KIA.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Karmine Corp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 19, 2026

  • 08:08 AM
    PAPacoPorros
    $23.18

    Bought 77.266665 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.3

  • 08:01 AM
    SUsuntori
    $28.57

    Bought 95.23 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.3

  • 08:00 AM
    NANaf-Naf
    $5.00

    Bought 16.666665 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.3

  • 07:57 AM
    LEleonoleokali
    $3.62

    Bought 5.1 Dplus KIA for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.71

  • 07:56 AM
    WOwomenzhijiangeyiban
    $5.00

    Bought 7.042251 Dplus KIA for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.71

  • 07:55 AM
    ALAlb3rto2l
    $5.00

    Bought 7.042251 Dplus KIA for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.71

  • 07:53 AM
    EDEdwardkang3080
    $3,000.00

    Bought 4225.35211 Dplus KIA for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.71

  • 07:52 AM
    ZIzishuai
    $199.68

    Bought 416 Karmine Corp for Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 07:52 AM
    0X0x57b258499f7A4cfC5043ceae57A51f7e6f529Da2-1779737456696
    $240.00

    Bought 500 Karmine Corp for Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 07:51 AM
    NInibabalaile
    $26.16

    Bought 49.35 Dplus KIA for Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 0.53

  • 07:51 AM
    0X0x57b258499f7A4cfC5043ceae57A51f7e6f529Da2-1779737456696
    $240.00

    Bought 500 Karmine Corp for Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 07:51 AM
    COCoollink
    $10.00

    Bought 33.333332 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs at 0.3

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$104.52
Volume
$19,809.05
Positions
Karmine CorpUnderUnder
KA2
karrigan2falcons
Event PnL
+$75.00
Volume
$14,999.94
Positions
Dplus KIA
ZZ3
Zzzz87
Event PnL
-$52.08
Volume
$11,961.00
Positions
Dplus KIADplus KIAOver
MA4
ManCangGangGanDaDanGan
Event PnL
+$0.10
Volume
$9,999.70
Positions
Dplus KIA
OR5
Orca4u
Event PnL
+$43.21
Volume
$8,768.34
Positions
Karmine CorpUnder
256
254321758
Event PnL
+$42.36
Volume
$8,393.75
Positions
Karmine CorpKarmine CorpKarmine Corp+1
DR7
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
-$40.00
Volume
$7,999.96
Positions
Dplus KIA
MI8
Minne2507
Event PnL
+$14.85
Volume
$7,155.86
Positions
Dplus KIAOver

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?(6,250%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?(6,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $160.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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