Liga MX: 2026-27 Largest Goal Differential

2027年6月14日
Active
概率趋势
Cruz Azul 49.0%
Puebla 49.0%
Atlético San Luis 49.0%
Club América 48.5%
CF Monterrey 48.5%

核心摘要

根据「Liga MX: 2026-27 Largest Goal Differential」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Tigres UANL 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Club América 以 4,900% 位居第二,CF Monterrey 以 4,900% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Tigres UANL (5,000%):Tigres UANL 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Club América (4,900%):作为最可行的替代选项,Club América 保持着 4,900% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,900¢。
  • CF Monterrey (4,900%):以 4,900% 的概率位列第三,市场对 CF Monterrey 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 UNAM Pumas (4,900%)、Puebla (4,900%),以及 Atlético San Luis (4,800%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cruz Azul 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Tigres UANL5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Club América4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
3CF Monterrey4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
4UNAM Pumas4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
5Puebla4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
6Atlético San Luis4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
7Cruz Azul4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
8Toluca4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
9Pachuca4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
10Atlas4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
11Santos Laguna4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
12FC Juárez4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
13Other4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
14Necaxa4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
15Atlante FC4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
16León4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
17Querétaro4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
18Tijuana4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
19Guadalajara (Chivas)4250.0%4250¢-4150¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to the team that finishes the regular season 2026-27 Liga MX Apertura and Clausura competitions with the best cumulative goal differential.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the team that scored the most total goals across the Apertura and Clausura competitions. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the team that is listed first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 Liga MX season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026-27 Liga MX season is cancelled, postponed after June 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Liga MX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「Liga MX: 2026-27 Largest Goal Differential」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Tigres UANL 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Club América(4,900%),以及 CF Monterrey(4,900%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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