Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

根据「Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，No 以压倒性的 6,750% 获胜概率主导市场；Yes 以 3,250% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $40，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• No (6,750%)：No 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,750¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• Yes (3,250%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Yes 保持着 3,250% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 3,250¢。

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device at any time between market creation and April 17, 2027, at 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve solely based on whether Marine Le Pen actually wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device during the specified time frame, regardless of any pending or future appeal, outstanding sentence, change to her candidacy or eligibility status, or other legal proceeding or formality.

Fitness monitoring devices, smartwatches, or other similar consumer-grade wearable technology will not qualify. A brief fitting, test, demonstration, or other non-compulsory use of an electronic monitoring device will not qualify unless Le Pen wears the device as part of an active electronic monitoring measure imposed by a court or other competent legal authority.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.