
ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
核心摘要
根据「ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 以压倒性的 9,550% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $225,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (9,550%):ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $17.6K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Completed Match (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Total Sets: O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Set 2 Winner (5,000%)、ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Match O/U 21.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 9550.0% | $17.6K | 9550¢ | -9450¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | $1 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Set 2 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $48 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Match O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $48 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Match O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Match O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves and Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos in the ITF Men Sao Paulo, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves advances against Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos.
This market will resolve to 'Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos' if Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos advances against Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常见问题
当前市场对「ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 以 9,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Total Sets: O/U 2.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $225,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
