Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets

$73.1K Vol
2026年7月3日
Active
概率趋势
Portugal 69.5%
Croatia 30.5%

核心摘要

根据「Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,150% 获胜概率主导市场；Portugal O/U 0.5 以 8,100% 位居第二，2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 7,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $73.1K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 0.5 (9,150%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,150¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $222 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Portugal O/U 0.5 (8,100%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Portugal O/U 0.5 保持着 8,100% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,100¢。
  • 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,550%)：以 7,550% 的概率位列第三，市场对 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 1.5 (7,150%)、Team to Advance (6,950%)，以及 1st Half O/U 0.5 (6,800%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 0.59150.0%$2229150¢-9050¢
2Portugal O/U 0.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
32nd Half O/U 0.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
4O/U 1.57150.0%$2.3K7150¢-7050¢
5Team to Advance6950.0%$38.1K6950¢-6850¢
61st Half O/U 0.56800.0%$696800¢-6700¢
7Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
8Croatia O/U 0.55850.0%$25850¢-5750¢
9Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
10Both Teams to Score4950.0%$1.6K4950¢-4850¢
11Portugal O/U 1.54800.0%$1334800¢-4700¢
12O/U 2.54650.0%$14.4K4650¢-4550¢
132nd Half O/U 1.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
14Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
15Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
161st Half O/U 1.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
17Portugal (-1.5)2850.0%$5.4K2850¢-2750¢
18Will the Match Go to Extra Time?2800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
19O/U 3.52450.0%$4.7K2450¢-2350¢
20Both Teams to Score in Second Half2450.0%$382450¢-2350¢
21Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
22Portugal O/U 2.52200.0%$162200¢-2100¢
23Croatia O/U 1.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
24Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.51700.0%$491700¢-1600¢
25Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?1700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
26Both Teams to Score in First Half1650.0%$511650¢-1550¢
272nd Half O/U 2.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
28Portugal (-2.5)1200.0%$1241200¢-1100¢
29O/U 4.51100.0%$3501100¢-1000¢
301st Half O/U 2.51000.0%$401000¢-900¢
31Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
32Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5650.0%$587650¢-550¢
33Croatia O/U 2.5570.0%$221570¢-470¢
34Croatia (-1.5)550.0%—550¢-450¢
35O/U 5.5415.0%$1415¢-315¢
36Portugal (-3.5)400.0%$304400¢-300¢
37Portugal (-4.5)350.0%$129350¢-250¢
38Croatia (-4.5)325.0%$68325¢-225¢
39Portugal (-5.5)220.0%$936220¢-120¢
40O/U 6.5140.0%$63140¢-40¢
41Croatia (-2.5)115.0%$277115¢-15¢
42Croatia (-3.5)65.0%$23065¢35¢
43O/U 7.560.0%$6860¢40¢
44O/U 8.560.0%$6860¢40¢
45Croatia (-5.5)5.0%$2.6K5¢95¢

裁决规则

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:34 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $19.34

    Bought 62.4 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:34 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $48.36

    Bought 156 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:31 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.67

    Bought 31.2 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:29 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.68

    Bought 15.09 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:28 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.67

    Bought 31.2 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:27 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.35

    Bought 46.29 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0xdb8aED66299346dbb89d7cC3d5Eb54A2e2a00Ca8-1767797209895
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:23 AM
    TPTPtheGOAT
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Portugal for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.7

  • 08:23 AM
    0X0xD7FdCE05376B38baAf487d73a28C8e1eB68F93c0-1770464508073
    $10.00

    Bought 32.258063 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:20 AM
    0X0x31E1E9FcB4250D2d062A34C93f233945577D1e09-1771820169022
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:12 AM
    ——
    $4.10

    Bought 5.857141 Portugal for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.7

  • 08:11 AM
    0X0x12f9AF44416F35242E8e09A2977aFC7580D25530-1782755833275
    $4.00

    Bought 5.714284 Portugal for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.7

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
+$54.91
Volume
$15,287.06
Positions
OverPortugalUnder+18
F52
0xf559…7740
Event PnL
-$45.45
Volume
$9,090.91
Positions
Under
B93
0xB9B4…4116
Event PnL
+$14.76
Volume
$2,951.41
Positions
Croatia
NM4
NM-P
Event PnL
-$4.23
Volume
$2,847.62
Positions
CroatiaOverOver+4
RO5
roshi1
Event PnL
-$11.55
Volume
$2,309.08
Positions
Croatia
DE6
DeepDitch
Event PnL
+$1.00
Volume
$1,999.98
Positions
Croatia
GC7
GC-P
Event PnL
+$1.20
Volume
$1,993.26
Positions
CroatiaOverUnder+3
UA8
UAMe
Event PnL
+$8.36
Volume
$1,950.39
Positions
CroatiaOverNo+3

常见问题

当前市场对「Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,150% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Portugal O/U 0.5（8,100%），以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5（7,550%）。该市场总成交量已达 $73.1K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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