
Portugal vs. Spain - Total Corners
核心摘要
根据「Portugal vs. Spain - Total Corners」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Total Corners: O/U 6.5 以压倒性的 8,700% 获胜概率主导市场;2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 以 8,250% 位居第二,Portugal Corners: O/U 2.5 以 7,900% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $395.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Total Corners: O/U 6.5 (8,700%):Total Corners: O/U 6.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,700¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $12.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 (8,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 保持着 8,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,250¢。
- Portugal Corners: O/U 2.5 (7,900%):以 7,900% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Portugal Corners: O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Total Corners: O/U 7.5 (7,700%)、Spain Corners: O/U 4.5 (6,750%),以及 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 (6,550%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Total Corners: O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 8700.0% | $12.3K | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 2 | 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 8250.0% | $174 | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 3 | Portugal Corners: O/U 2.5 | 7900.0% | $343 | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 4 | Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 7700.0% | $23.2K | 7700¢ | -7600¢ |
| 5 | Spain Corners: O/U 4.5 | 6750.0% | $2.8K | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 6 | 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 6550.0% | $2.5K | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 7 | Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 6350.0% | $87.1K | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 8 | 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 6150.0% | $4.9K | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 9 | Portugal Corners: O/U 3.5 | 5850.0% | $18.8K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 10 | Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 5350.0% | $136.1K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 11 | 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 5050.0% | $5.3K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 12 | Total Corners: Odd or Even | 5000.0% | $4.3K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Spain Corners: O/U 5.5 | 4950.0% | $16.4K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 4600.0% | $3.0K | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 15 | Team to Take First Corner | 4350.0% | $787 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 16 | Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 4150.0% | $55.2K | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 17 | Portugal Corners: O/U 4.5 | 4050.0% | $11.1K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 18 | Spain Corners: O/U 6.5 | 3650.0% | $547 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 19 | 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 3300.0% | $694 | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 20 | Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 2950.0% | $10.5K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 21 | Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 2250.0% | $6.0K | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
裁决规则
Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6 at 3:00 PM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 6, 2026
- 08:32 AMMOmooseborzoi$9.57
Bought 19.14 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Corners at 0.5
- 08:28 AMSISigmaPrinciplesPredicts$5.00
Bought 7.8125 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners at 0.64
- 08:28 AMSUsuntori$9.70
Bought 19.019606 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners at 0.51
- 08:28 AM——$49.26
Bought 96.588234 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners at 0.51
- 08:28 AMDRdr56tydgr$80.00
Bought 125 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners at 0.64
- 08:27 AM0X0x9ae4b51ae8b0e734487DAeaaB2FCb6ACa5E94cc2-1783326234813$49.08
Bought 84.620688 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners at 0.58
- 08:27 AMMOmooseborzoi$141.56
Bought 283.12 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Corners at 0.5
- 08:26 AMZHzhuz632$529.00
Bought 1058 Under for Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners at 0.5
- 08:25 AMZHzhuz632$528.00
Bought 1056 Under for Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners at 0.5
- 08:24 AMMOmooseborzoi$4.53
Bought 9.06 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Corners at 0.5
- 08:24 AMMOmooseborzoi$4.59
Bought 12.08 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 4.5 Corners at 0.38
- 08:24 AMADadulnevergiveup$19.00
Bought 50 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Corners at 0.38
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Portugal vs. Spain - Total Corners」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Total Corners: O/U 6.5 以 8,700% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5(8,250%),以及 Portugal Corners: O/U 2.5(7,900%)。该市场总成交量已达 $395.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
