Paraguay vs. France - Player Props
$122.6K Vol
2026年7月5日
Active
概率趋势
Yes 63.5%
No 36.5%
核心摘要
根据「Paraguay vs. France - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 以压倒性的 8,900% 获胜概率主导市场；Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots 以 8,150% 位居第二，Michael Olise: 1+ shots 以 7,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $122.6K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots (8,900%)：Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,900¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots (8,150%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots 保持着 8,150% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,150¢。
- Michael Olise: 1+ shots (7,500%)：以 7,500% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Michael Olise: 1+ shots 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots (7,200%)、Désiré Doué: 1+ shots (6,600%)，以及 Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals (6,350%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 2 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 3 | Michael Olise: 1+ shots | 7500.0% | — | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 4 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 5 | Désiré Doué: 1+ shots | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 6 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | 6350.0% | $67.6K | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 7 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots | 6350.0% | $3 | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 8 | Michael Olise: 2+ shots | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 9 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots | 5100.0% | $29 | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 10 | Michael Olise: 3+ shots | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Álex Arce: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 12 | Álex Arce: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 13 | Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 14 | Désiré Doué: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 15 | Désiré Doué: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 16 | Désiré Doué: 4+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 17 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 18 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 19 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 20 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 21 | Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 22 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 23 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 24 | Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 25 | Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 26 | Michael Olise: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 27 | Michael Olise: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 28 | Michael Olise: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 29 | Michael Olise: 4+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 30 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 31 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 32 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 33 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 34 | Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 35 | Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 36 | Brice Samba: 2+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 37 | Brice Samba: 3+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 38 | Brice Samba: 4+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 39 | Brice Samba: 5+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 40 | Gatito Fernández: 2+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 41 | Gatito Fernández: 3+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 42 | Gatito Fernández: 4+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 43 | Gatito Fernández: 5+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 44 | Désiré Doué: 1+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 45 | Désiré Doué: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 46 | Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 47 | Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 48 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 49 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 50 | Gabriel Ávalos: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 51 | Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 52 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 53 | Julio César Enciso: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 54 | Julio César Enciso: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 55 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 56 | Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 57 | Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 58 | Michael Olise: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 59 | Michael Olise: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 60 | Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 61 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 62 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 63 | Miguel Almirón: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 64 | Miguel Almirón: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 65 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 66 | Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 67 | Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 68 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ shots | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 69 | Michael Olise: 1+ assists | 4450.0% | $16.9K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 70 | Álex Arce: 1+ shots | 4250.0% | $90 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 71 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assists | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 72 | Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 73 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | 4050.0% | $12.3K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 74 | Désiré Doué: 2+ shots | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 75 | Michael Olise: 1+ goals + assists | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 76 | Michael Olise: 1+ goals | 3350.0% | $6.0K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 77 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals + assists | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 78 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists | 3000.0% | $864 | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 79 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists | 2950.0% | $476 | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 80 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | 2750.0% | $10.5K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 81 | Désiré Doué: 3+ shots | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 82 | Michael Olise: 4+ shots | 2250.0% | $13 | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 83 | Michael Olise: 5+ shots | 2250.0% | — | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 84 | Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots | 2250.0% | $4 | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 85 | Désiré Doué: 1+ goals | 2150.0% | $636 | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 86 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ shots | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 87 | Álex Arce: 3+ shots | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 88 | Álex Arce: 4+ shots | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 89 | Désiré Doué: 4+ shots | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 90 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ shots | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 91 | Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 92 | Álex Arce: 5+ shots | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 93 | Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 94 | Michael Olise: 2+ assists | 1300.0% | $5.9K | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 95 | Álex Arce: 2+ shots | 1150.0% | $149 | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 96 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals | 1050.0% | $2.4K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 97 | Désiré Doué: 5+ shots | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 98 | Gabriel Ávalos: 3+ shots | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 99 | Miguel Almirón: 3+ shots | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 100 | Désiré Doué: 1+ assists | 900.0% | $32 | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 101 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals + assists | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 102 | Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals | 800.0% | $1.4K | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 103 | Michael Olise: 2+ goals | 750.0% | $1.6K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 104 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ assists | 750.0% | $14 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 105 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals | 650.0% | $17 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 106 | Julio César Enciso: 4+ shots | 650.0% | $1 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 107 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assists | 600.0% | $235 | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 108 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ goals | 500.0% | $23 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 109 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ assists | 500.0% | $15 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 110 | Álex Arce: 1+ goals | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 111 | Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ shots | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 112 | Désiré Doué: 2+ assists | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 113 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ goals | 405.0% | — | 405¢ | -305¢ |
| 114 | Désiré Doué: 2+ goals | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 115 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ assists | 400.0% | $47 | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 116 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assists | 320.0% | $860 | 320¢ | -220¢ |
| 117 | Miguel Almirón: 4+ shots | 305.0% | — | 305¢ | -205¢ |
| 118 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ assists | 255.0% | — | 255¢ | -155¢ |
| 119 | Julio César Enciso: 5+ shots | 225.0% | — | 225¢ | -125¢ |
| 120 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ assists | 205.0% | — | 205¢ | -105¢ |
| 121 | Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals | 170.0% | $200 | 170¢ | -70¢ |
| 122 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ assists | 155.0% | — | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 123 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 124 | Álex Arce: 2+ goals | 140.0% | — | 140¢ | -40¢ |
| 125 | Désiré Doué: 3+ goals | 115.0% | — | 115¢ | -15¢ |
| 126 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ goals | 100.0% | — | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 127 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ goals | 55.0% | — | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 128 | Michael Olise: 3+ goals | 55.0% | $105 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
裁决规则
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and France, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.
常见问题
当前市场对「Paraguay vs. France - Player Props」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 以 8,900% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots（8,150%），以及 Michael Olise: 1+ shots（7,500%）。该市场总成交量已达 $122.6K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。