Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets

$1.1M Vol
2026年7月1日
Active
概率趋势
Mexico 62.5%
Ecuador 37.5%

核心摘要

根据「Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 8,450% 获胜概率主导市场；Mexico O/U 0.5 以 6,950% 位居第二，2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 6,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.1M，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 0.5 (8,450%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,450¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $67.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Mexico O/U 0.5 (6,950%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Mexico O/U 0.5 保持着 6,950% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,950¢。
  • 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (6,850%)：以 6,850% 的概率位列第三，市场对 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Team to Advance (6,250%)、O/U 1.5 (5,950%)，以及 1st Half O/U 0.5 (5,650%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Ecuador O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 0.58450.0%$67.0K8450¢-8350¢
2Mexico O/U 0.56950.0%$6.8K6950¢-6850¢
32nd Half O/U 0.56850.0%$2996850¢-6750¢
4Team to Advance6250.0%$319.0K6250¢-6150¢
5O/U 1.55950.0%$91.3K5950¢-5850¢
61st Half O/U 0.55650.0%$27.7K5650¢-5550¢
7Ecuador O/U 0.55600.0%$5.8K5600¢-5500¢
8Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.54850.0%$564850¢-4750¢
9Both Teams to Score4150.0%$65.8K4150¢-4050¢
10Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.54100.0%$2.3K4100¢-4000¢
11Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.53900.0%$183900¢-3800¢
12Will the Match Go to Extra Time?3550.0%$6223550¢-3450¢
132nd Half O/U 1.53350.0%$3113350¢-3250¢
14Mexico O/U 1.53250.0%$17.7K3250¢-3150¢
15O/U 2.53150.0%$177.9K3150¢-3050¢
16Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.52900.0%$8342900¢-2800¢
17Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?2500.0%$1.0K2500¢-2400¢
181st Half O/U 1.52050.0%$9.3K2050¢-1950¢
19Ecuador O/U 1.51950.0%$3.3K1950¢-1850¢
20Mexico (-1.5)1850.0%$175.6K1850¢-1750¢
21Both Teams to Score in Second Half1650.0%$10.8K1650¢-1550¢
22O/U 3.51450.0%$28.3K1450¢-1350¢
23Both Teams to Score in First Half1350.0%$11.9K1350¢-1250¢
24Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.51350.0%$3201350¢-1250¢
25Mexico O/U 2.51150.0%$9.5K1150¢-1050¢
26Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.51100.0%$1201100¢-1000¢
27Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.51000.0%$1.4K1000¢-900¢
282nd Half O/U 2.5900.0%$834900¢-800¢
29Ecuador (-1.5)750.0%$13.2K750¢-650¢
30Mexico (-2.5)600.0%$31.6K600¢-500¢
31O/U 4.5550.0%$12.6K550¢-450¢
321st Half O/U 2.5550.0%$183550¢-450¢
33Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5500.0%$424500¢-400¢
34Ecuador O/U 2.5450.0%$760450¢-350¢
35O/U 5.5195.0%$6.7K195¢-95¢
36Ecuador (-2.5)180.0%$855180¢-80¢
37Mexico (-3.5)150.0%$396150¢-50¢
38O/U 6.565.0%$3.9K65¢35¢
39O/U 7.550.0%$1850¢50¢
40Mexico (-4.5)45.0%$4.2K45¢55¢
41Ecuador (-3.5)35.0%$4.0K35¢65¢
42O/U 8.515.0%$4.5K15¢85¢
43Ecuador (-4.5)5.0%$7.4K5¢95¢
44Mexico (-5.5)5.0%$2.4K5¢95¢
45Ecuador (-5.5)5.0%$2.5K5¢95¢

裁决规则

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:39 AM
    CIcigarettes
    $14.62

    Bought 86 Yes for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Half at 0.17

  • 08:38 AM
    DYDyorSports
    $5.10

    Sold 30 Yes for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Half at 0.17

  • 08:38 AM
    0X0xB451a99381e5b7f1eBef03e43e828DdAEB3DDc94-1768891980567
    $12.00

    Bought 14.634144 Ecuador for Spread: Mexico (-1.5) at 0.82

  • 08:35 AM
    ABabo7s
    $17.22

    Bought 42 Under for Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 at 0.41

  • 08:35 AM
    ABabo7s
    $7.98

    Bought 42 Mexico for Spread: Mexico (-1.5) at 0.19

  • 08:35 AM
    ——
    $30.00

    Bought 78.947367 Ecuador for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance at 0.38

  • 08:35 AM
    ABabo7s
    $15.96

    Bought 42 Ecuador for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance at 0.38

  • 08:34 AM
    IAIanNNN123
    $5.80

    Bought 10 Over for Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.58

  • 08:32 AM
    TRtradingis
    $1.98

    Bought 5.210525 Ecuador for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance at 0.38

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $16.49

    Bought 26.18 Mexico for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance at 0.63

  • 08:32 AM
    SEsergocrypt
    $8.32

    Bought 20.3 Yes for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score at 0.41

  • 08:32 AM
    JIJIALINSHI
    $10.00

    Bought 52.631577 Mexico for Spread: Mexico (-1.5) at 0.19

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
-$1,737.74
Volume
$186,178.65
Positions
OverEcuadorEcuador+17
AL2
Allezpapa
Event PnL
+$2,009.94
Volume
$134,895.11
Positions
Under
MO3
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$257.58
Volume
$69,393.03
Positions
MexicoMexicoOver+4
FO4
FootballFan98
Event PnL
+$304.52
Volume
$59,986.84
Positions
Ecuador
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$115.72
Volume
$27,384.90
Positions
OverMexicoMexico+8
886
88M
Event PnL
+$50.46
Volume
$10,030.73
Positions
MexicoMexico
HO7
HotChili
Event PnL
-$250.00
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
Over
MO8
mortewfenloin
Event PnL
-$8.10
Volume
$9,712.68
Positions
OverNoEcuador+3

常见问题

当前市场对「Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 8,450% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Mexico O/U 0.5（6,950%），以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5（6,850%）。该市场总成交量已达 $1.1M，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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