France vs. Sweden - More Markets

$4M Vol
2026年7月1日
Active
概率趋势
France 53.5%
Sweden 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「France vs. Sweden - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,665% 获胜概率主导市场；France O/U 0.5 以 9,350% 位居第二，Team to Advance 以 8,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $4M，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 0.5 (9,665%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,665¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $18.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • France O/U 0.5 (9,350%)：作为最可行的替代选项，France O/U 0.5 保持着 9,350% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,350¢。
  • Team to Advance (8,850%)：以 8,850% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Team to Advance 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 1.5 (8,650%)、2nd Half O/U 0.5 (8,250%)，以及 1st Half O/U 0.5 (7,950%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 France O/U 1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 0.59665.0%$18.4K9665¢-9565¢
2France O/U 0.59350.0%$1.2K9350¢-9250¢
3Team to Advance8850.0%$794.1K8850¢-8750¢
4O/U 1.58650.0%$25.7K8650¢-8550¢
52nd Half O/U 0.58250.0%$178250¢-8150¢
61st Half O/U 0.57950.0%$15.7K7950¢-7850¢
7France O/U 1.57450.0%$35.4K7450¢-7350¢
8France 2nd Half O/U 0.57350.0%$97350¢-7250¢
9France 1st Half O/U 0.57100.0%$1.9K7100¢-7000¢
10O/U 2.56750.0%$240.1K6750¢-6650¢
11Sweden O/U 0.55750.0%$25.5K5750¢-5650¢
12Both Teams to Score5450.0%$156.2K5450¢-5350¢
132nd Half O/U 1.55450.0%$1.5K5450¢-5350¢
14France (-1.5)5350.0%$2.0M5350¢-5250¢
15France O/U 2.54850.0%$37.2K4850¢-4750¢
161st Half O/U 1.54650.0%$24.5K4650¢-4550¢
17O/U 3.54450.0%$180.8K4450¢-4350¢
18France 2nd Half O/U 1.54300.0%$2834300¢-4200¢
19Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.53600.0%$163600¢-3500¢
20France 1st Half O/U 1.53450.0%$10.3K3450¢-3350¢
21France (-2.5)3150.0%$162.6K3150¢-3050¢
22Both Teams to Score in Second Half3000.0%$1.6K3000¢-2900¢
23Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.52950.0%$17.9K2950¢-2850¢
242nd Half O/U 2.52900.0%$2762900¢-2800¢
25O/U 4.52550.0%$51.6K2550¢-2450¢
26Both Teams to Score in First Half2150.0%$2.2K2150¢-2050¢
27Sweden O/U 1.52050.0%$15.9K2050¢-1950¢
281st Half O/U 2.51950.0%$3.7K1950¢-1850¢
29Will the Match Go to Extra Time?1700.0%$4251700¢-1600¢
30France (-3.5)1550.0%$103.1K1550¢-1450¢
31O/U 5.51300.0%$7.3K1300¢-1200¢
32Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.51000.0%$501000¢-900¢
33Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?800.0%$1.1K800¢-700¢
34France (-4.5)750.0%$2.1K750¢-650¢
35O/U 6.5550.0%$1.6K550¢-450¢
36Sweden O/U 2.5505.0%$12.9K505¢-405¢
37Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5490.0%$855490¢-390¢
38France (-5.5)270.0%$1.4K270¢-170¢
39O/U 7.5265.0%$3.9K265¢-165¢
40Sweden (-1.5)195.0%$17.4K195¢-95¢
41O/U 8.580.0%$4.1K80¢20¢
42Sweden (-2.5)35.0%$3.9K35¢65¢
43Sweden (-3.5)15.0%$1.7K15¢85¢
44Sweden (-4.5)15.0%$12.5K15¢85¢
45Sweden (-5.5)15.0%$3.0K15¢85¢

裁决规则

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:38 AM
    NBnb101
    $14.40

    Bought 119.99 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:37 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.51

    Bought 79.25 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:37 AM
    DEdeSora
    $3.00

    Bought 3.370781 France for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.89

  • 08:36 AM
    0X0x4663854f8bb5A3ea850CbeD4b126aB6c13EDB80c-1776032151415
    $2.00

    Bought 16.666665 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:34 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.80

    Bought 15.04 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:33 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.69

    Bought 39.12 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:33 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.20

    Bought 10.03 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:32 AM
    ——
    $5.53

    Bought 12.56818 Over for France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5 at 0.44

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $28.77

    Bought 239.75 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $19.59

    Bought 36.27 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.54

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $95.75

    Bought 177.32 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.54

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $46.79

    Bought 86.64 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.54

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

071
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$10,551.52
Volume
$590,823.77
Positions
SwedenOverOver+7
AL2
Allezpapa
Event PnL
-$6,885.82
Volume
$424,566.93
Positions
FranceOver
SW3
swisstony
Event PnL
-$3,634.69
Volume
$403,179.49
Positions
SwedenUnderUnder+29
WR4
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$5,117.14
Volume
$374,057.46
Positions
SwedenSwedenUnder+1
MO5
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$1,337.91
Volume
$336,789.96
Positions
FranceOverSweden+1
FO6
FootballFan98
Event PnL
+$1,876.50
Volume
$274,865.10
Positions
Sweden
SU7
suntori
Event PnL
-$1,429.71
Volume
$122,485.03
Positions
FranceFranceOver+25
GO8
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$667.02
Volume
$116,695.49
Positions
FranceFranceUnder+11

常见问题

当前市场对「France vs. Sweden - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,665% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 France O/U 0.5（9,350%），以及 Team to Advance（8,850%）。该市场总成交量已达 $4M，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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