
France vs. Sweden - Exact Score
核心摘要
根据「France vs. Sweden - Exact Score」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Any Other Score 以压倒性的 2,550% 获胜概率主导市场;France 2 - 0 Sweden 以 1,150% 位居第二,France 2 - 1 Sweden 以 1,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.1M,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Any Other Score (2,550%):Any Other Score 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 2,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $45.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- France 2 - 0 Sweden (1,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,France 2 - 0 Sweden 保持着 1,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 1,150¢。
- France 2 - 1 Sweden (1,050%):以 1,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 France 2 - 1 Sweden 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 France 3 - 0 Sweden (1,050%)、France 1 - 0 Sweden (850%),以及 France 3 - 1 Sweden (850%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 France 1 - 1 Sweden 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Other Score | 2550.0% | $45.9K | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 2 | France 2 - 0 Sweden | 1150.0% | $148.9K | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 3 | France 2 - 1 Sweden | 1050.0% | $128.2K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 4 | France 3 - 0 Sweden | 1050.0% | $174.6K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 5 | France 1 - 0 Sweden | 850.0% | $47.3K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 6 | France 3 - 1 Sweden | 850.0% | $287.0K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 7 | France 1 - 1 Sweden | 750.0% | $46.9K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 8 | France 2 - 2 Sweden | 455.0% | $31.3K | 455¢ | -355¢ |
| 9 | France 3 - 2 Sweden | 425.0% | $36.0K | 425¢ | -325¢ |
| 10 | France 0 - 0 Sweden | 330.0% | $52.5K | 330¢ | -230¢ |
| 11 | France 1 - 2 Sweden | 235.0% | $19.6K | 235¢ | -135¢ |
| 12 | France 0 - 1 Sweden | 195.0% | $13.8K | 195¢ | -95¢ |
| 13 | France 3 - 3 Sweden | 135.0% | $40.1K | 135¢ | -35¢ |
| 14 | France 2 - 3 Sweden | 115.0% | $17.5K | 115¢ | -15¢ |
| 15 | France 0 - 2 Sweden | 75.0% | $24.2K | 75¢ | 25¢ |
| 16 | France 1 - 3 Sweden | 55.0% | $9.7K | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 17 | France 0 - 3 Sweden | 25.0% | $10.8K | 25¢ | 75¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the France vs. Sweden match originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jun 30, 2026
- 08:32 AMCAcaizi888$8.00
Bought 66.666665 Yes for Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden? at 0.12
- 08:31 AMGOgoldisoverrated$2.00
Bought 2.1978 No for Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden? at 0.91
- 08:31 AM0X0xA9435Dc8383Bd31c1a716813eA7bAEe96DeE8a22-1781978843264$5.00
Bought 5.617972 No for Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden? at 0.89
- 08:31 AMGOgoldisoverrated$2.00
Bought 2.1978 No for Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden? at 0.91
- 08:30 AMKAkaile520$5.00
Bought 50 Yes for Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden? at 0.1
- 08:30 AMJWjw01$3.50
Bought 31.81818 Yes for Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Sweden? at 0.11
- 08:30 AMKAkaile520$5.00
Bought 45.454544 Yes for Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Sweden? at 0.11
- 08:30 AMSUsuntori$9.70
Bought 88.181817 Yes for Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Sweden? at 0.11
- 08:30 AMGOgoldisoverrated$2.00
Bought 2.24719 No for Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden? at 0.89
- 08:30 AM919178169guange$1.00
Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden? at 0.1
- 08:30 AM0X0xA9435Dc8383Bd31c1a716813eA7bAEe96DeE8a22-1781978843264$5.00
Bought 5.4945 No for Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden? at 0.91
- 08:30 AM919178169guange$1.00
Bought 8.333332 Yes for Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden? at 0.12
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常见问题
当前市场对「France vs. Sweden - Exact Score」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Any Other Score 以 2,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 France 2 - 0 Sweden(1,150%),以及 France 2 - 1 Sweden(1,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1.1M,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
