France vs. Morocco - Second Half Result

$2 Vol
2026年7月10日
Active
概率趋势
No 51.5%
Yes 48.5%

核心摘要

根据「France vs. Morocco - Second Half Result」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,France 以压倒性的 4,800% 获胜概率主导市场;Draw 以 3,500% 位居第二,Morocco 以 1,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $2,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • France (4,800%):France 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 4,800¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $2 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Draw (3,500%):作为最可行的替代选项,Draw 保持着 3,500% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 3,500¢。
  • Morocco (1,550%):以 1,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Morocco 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1France4800.0%$24800¢-4700¢
2Draw3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
3Morocco1550.0%1550¢-1450¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Morocco, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France score more goals than Morocco in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if France and Morocco score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Morocco" if Morocco score more goals than France in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

常见问题

当前市场对「France vs. Morocco - Second Half Result」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,France 以 4,800% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Draw(3,500%),以及 Morocco(1,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $2,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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