France vs. Morocco - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「France vs. Morocco - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,250% 获胜概率主导市场；Team to Advance 以 7,850% 位居第二，O/U 1.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $130.9K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- O/U 0.5 (9,250%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,250¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $347 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Team to Advance (7,850%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Team to Advance 保持着 7,850% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,850¢。
- O/U 1.5 (7,250%)：以 7,250% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 O/U 2.5 (4,650%)、France (-1.5) (3,350%)，以及 O/U 3.5 (2,550%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Will the Match Go to Extra Time? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 9250.0% | $347 | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 2 | Team to Advance | 7850.0% | $106.1K | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 7250.0% | $1.1K | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 | 4650.0% | $11.6K | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 5 | France (-1.5) | 3350.0% | $5.6K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 6 | O/U 3.5 | 2550.0% | $2.3K | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 7 | Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | 2500.0% | $54 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 8 | France (-2.5) | 1600.0% | $187 | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 9 | Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 10 | O/U 4.5 | 1150.0% | $11 | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 11 | France (-3.5) | 600.0% | $150 | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 12 | France (-4.5) | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 13 | France (-5.5) | 505.0% | $125 | 505¢ | -405¢ |
| 14 | O/U 5.5 | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 15 | Morocco (-5.5) | 445.0% | $180 | 445¢ | -345¢ |
| 16 | Morocco (-1.5) | 335.0% | $2.1K | 335¢ | -235¢ |
| 17 | O/U 6.5 | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 18 | Morocco (-2.5) | 140.0% | $510 | 140¢ | -40¢ |
| 19 | Morocco (-3.5) | 55.0% | $157 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 20 | O/U 7.5 | 55.0% | $65 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 21 | O/U 8.5 | 55.0% | $65 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 22 | Morocco (-4.5) | 50.0% | $350 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁决规则
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 9 at 4:00 PM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 5, 2026
- 08:44 PMSWswisstony$150.00
Bought 150 France for Spread: Morocco (-4.5) at 1
- 08:40 PMPOPoissonic$1.32
Bought 6 Morocco for France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance at 0.22
- 08:30 PMCICivilizedBabooon$2.00
Bought 3.703702 Under for France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 at 0.54
- 08:23 PMPOPoissonic$1.76
Bought 8 Morocco for France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance at 0.22
- 08:20 PMNEneutralwave23$484.55
Bought 613.35 France for France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance at 0.79
- 08:18 PMGUGuilleTristanCharlie$220.00
Bought 1000 Morocco for France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance at 0.22
- 08:18 PMGUGuilleTristanCharlie$220.00
Bought 1000 Morocco for France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance at 0.22
- 08:18 PMSWswisstony$20.00
Bought 20 France for Spread: Morocco (-4.5) at 1
- 08:18 PMGUGuilleTristanCharlie$220.00
Bought 1000 Morocco for France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance at 0.22
- 08:16 PM——$2.00
Bought 2.739725 Over for France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 at 0.73
- 08:16 PM0X0xbf57a5c76eC175abe46fd118026ccB1C268c9574-1781416419926$2.00
Bought 2.531642 France for France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance at 0.79
- 08:13 PMMOmooseborzoi$290.40
Bought 1320.01 Morocco for France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance at 0.22
常见问题
当前市场对「France vs. Morocco - More Markets」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,250% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Team to Advance（7,850%），以及 O/U 1.5（7,250%）。该市场总成交量已达 $130.9K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。