Spain vs. Austria - Player Props

$152K Vol
2026年7月2日
Active
概率趋势
No 57.5%
Yes 42.5%

核心摘要

根据「Spain vs. Austria - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots 以压倒性的 8,750% 获胜概率主导市场；Dani Olmo: 1+ shots 以 7,600% 位居第二，Alex Baena: 1+ shots 以 7,300% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $152K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots (8,750%)：Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,750¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $49 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Dani Olmo: 1+ shots (7,600%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Dani Olmo: 1+ shots 保持着 7,600% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,600¢。
  • Alex Baena: 1+ shots (7,300%)：以 7,300% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Alex Baena: 1+ shots 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots (6,550%)、Rodri: 1+ shots (6,150%)，以及 Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists (6,050%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots8750.0%$498750¢-8650¢
2Dani Olmo: 1+ shots7600.0%$317600¢-7500¢
3Alex Baena: 1+ shots7300.0%$3867300¢-7200¢
4Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots6550.0%$26550¢-6450¢
5Rodri: 1+ shots6150.0%$766150¢-6050¢
6Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists6050.0%$486050¢-5950¢
7Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots5750.0%$225750¢-5650¢
8Pedri: 1+ shots5450.0%$1.1K5450¢-5350¢
9Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
10Nico Williams: 1+ goals + assists5150.0%$4315150¢-5050¢
11Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ shots5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Patrick Pentz: 3+ saves4915.0%$1604915¢-4815¢
13Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals + assists4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
14Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals + assists4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
15Unai Simón: 4+ saves4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
16Carney Chukwuemeka: 1+ goals4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
17Konrad Laimer: 2+ goals4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
18Michael Gregoritsch: 2+ goals4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
19Saša Kalajdžić: 2+ goals4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
20Carney Chukwuemeka: 1+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
21Carney Chukwuemeka: 2+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
22Carney Chukwuemeka: 3+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
23Carney Chukwuemeka: 4+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
24Konrad Laimer: 1+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
25Konrad Laimer: 2+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
26Konrad Laimer: 3+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
27Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
28Michael Gregoritsch: 2+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
29Michael Gregoritsch: 3+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
30Michael Gregoritsch: 4+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
31Paul Wanner: 1+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
32Paul Wanner: 3+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
33Saša Kalajdžić: 2+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
34Saša Kalajdžić: 3+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
35Saša Kalajdžić: 4+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
36Saša Kalajdžić: 5+ shots4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
37Konrad Laimer: 1+ assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
38Paul Wanner: 1+ assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
39Paul Wanner: 2+ assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
40Romano Schmid: 1+ assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
41Romano Schmid: 2+ assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
42Alex Baena: 4+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
43Carney Chukwuemeka: 2+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
44Dani Olmo: 4+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
45Konrad Laimer: 1+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
46Konrad Laimer: 2+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
47Marko Arnautovic: 3+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
48Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
49Michael Gregoritsch: 2+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
50Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
51Nico Williams: 4+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
52Paul Wanner: 1+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
53Paul Wanner: 2+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
54Pedri: 3+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
55Romano Schmid: 1+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
56Romano Schmid: 2+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
57Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
58Saša Kalajdžić: 2+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
59Saša Kalajdžić: 3+ shots on target4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
60Konrad Laimer: 1+ goals + assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
61Konrad Laimer: 2+ goals + assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
62Konrad Laimer: 3+ goals + assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
63Paul Wanner: 1+ goals + assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
64Paul Wanner: 2+ goals + assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
65Paul Wanner: 3+ goals + assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
66Paul Wanner: 4+ goals + assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
67Romano Schmid: 2+ goals + assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
68Romano Schmid: 4+ goals + assists4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
69Patrick Pentz: 4+ saves4780.0%$1604780¢-4680¢
70Dani Olmo: 3+ shots on target4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
71Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots on target4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
72Rodri: 2+ shots on target4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
73Unai Simón: 5+ saves4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
74Michael Gregoritsch: 5+ shots4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
75Carney Chukwuemeka: 1+ shots on target4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
76Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots on target4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
77Konrad Laimer: 4+ goals + assists4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
78Romano Schmid: 1+ goals + assists4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
79Romano Schmid: 3+ goals + assists4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
80Marcel Sabitzer: 3+ goals + assists4740.0%$104740¢-4640¢
81Alex Baena: 3+ shots on target4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
82Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ shots on target4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
83Pedro Porro: 2+ shots on target4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
84Unai Simón: 2+ saves4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
85Unai Simón: 3+ saves4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
86Dani Olmo: 3+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
87Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
88Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
89Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
90Pedri: 3+ goals + assists4700.0%$104700¢-4600¢
91Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goals + assists4695.0%$104695¢-4595¢
92Rodri: 3+ goals + assists4695.0%$3104695¢-4595¢
93Pedro Porro: 3+ goals + assists4685.0%$394685¢-4585¢
94Dani Olmo: 2+ goals + assists4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
95Nico Williams: 2+ goals + assists4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
96Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ goals4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
97Pedri: 4+ goals + assists4635.0%$2.4K4635¢-4535¢
98Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assists4630.0%$4.4K4630¢-4530¢
99Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots4550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
100Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots4500.0%$3104500¢-4400¢
101Nico Williams: 3+ shots on target4450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
102Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots4400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
103Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals4350.0%$8.6K4350¢-4250¢
104Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots on target4350.0%$144350¢-4250¢
105Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots on target4350.0%$564350¢-4250¢
106Pedri: 1+ goals + assists4350.0%$504350¢-4250¢
107Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals4250.0%$15.5K4250¢-4150¢
108Alex Baena: 1+ goals + assists4250.0%$64250¢-4150¢
109Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + assists4250.0%$1.8K4250¢-4150¢
110Nico Williams: 2+ shots on target4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
111Pedro Porro: 1+ goals + assists4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
112Rodri: 1+ goals + assists4150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
113Alex Baena: 2+ shots4050.0%$644050¢-3950¢
114Pedro Porro: 1+ shots3900.0%$253900¢-3800¢
115Nico Williams: 1+ shots on target3900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
116Romano Schmid: 1+ shots3850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
117Pedri: 2+ shots3650.0%$1223650¢-3550¢
118Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots on target3650.0%$1303650¢-3550¢
119Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists3550.0%$1.4K3550¢-3450¢
120Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
121Alex Baena: 1+ shots on target3450.0%$923450¢-3350¢
122Dani Olmo: 1+ shots on target3450.0%$303450¢-3350¢
123Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots3350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
124Rodri: 1+ shots on target3250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
125Marko Arnautovic: 1+ goals + assists3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
126Marko Arnautovic: 2+ shots3050.0%$843050¢-2950¢
127Dani Olmo: 3+ shots3050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
128Marko Arnautovic: 4+ goals + assists2975.0%$2.4K2975¢-2875¢
129Patrick Pentz: 5+ saves2860.0%$2352860¢-2760¢
130Lamine Yamal: 5+ shots2700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
131Rodri: 2+ shots2650.0%$162650¢-2550¢
132Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ goals2650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
133Alex Baena: 3+ shots2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
134Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
135Dani Olmo: 1+ goals2450.0%$1.8K2450¢-2350¢
136Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ shots2400.0%$2212400¢-2300¢
137Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots on target2350.0%$302350¢-2250¢
138Dani Olmo: 2+ shots2250.0%$1042250¢-2150¢
139Dani Olmo: 1+ goals + assists2250.0%$742250¢-2150¢
140Mikel Oyarzabal: 5+ shots2200.0%$22200¢-2100¢
141Pedri: 1+ shots on target2150.0%$22150¢-2050¢
142Pedri: 1+ assists2050.0%$3.3K2050¢-1950¢
143Dani Olmo: 4+ shots2050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
144Paul Wanner: 2+ shots1950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
145Romano Schmid: 2+ shots1950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
146Alex Baena: 1+ goals1900.0%$1451900¢-1800¢
147Dani Olmo: 1+ assists1850.0%$831850¢-1750¢
148Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assists1850.0%$3211850¢-1750¢
149Pedro Porro: 2+ goals + assists1850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
150Alex Baena: 4+ shots1850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
151Dani Olmo: 5+ shots1850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
152Pedri: 2+ goals + assists1800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
153Alex Baena: 2+ goals + assists1750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
154Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ goals + assists1750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
155Marko Arnautovic: 2+ goals + assists1750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
156Alex Baena: 1+ assists1700.0%$1741700¢-1600¢
157Alex Baena: 3+ goals + assists1700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
158Rodri: 2+ goals + assists1700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
159Patrick Pentz: 2+ saves1615.0%$2101615¢-1515¢
160Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots on target1450.0%$221450¢-1350¢
161Marko Arnautovic: 3+ shots1450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
162Rodri: 1+ assists1400.0%$1241400¢-1300¢
163Dani Olmo: 2+ shots on target1400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
164Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals1350.0%$8941350¢-1250¢
165Alex Baena: 5+ shots1350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
166Alex Baena: 2+ shots on target1300.0%$51300¢-1200¢
167Marko Arnautovic: 1+ goals1250.0%$9641250¢-1150¢
168Carney Chukwuemeka: 2+ goals1250.0%$241250¢-1150¢
169Konrad Laimer: 2+ assists1250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
170Pedro Porro: 2+ shots1200.0%$261200¢-1100¢
171Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goals1150.0%$1031150¢-1050¢
172Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots on target1150.0%$251150¢-1050¢
173Paul Wanner: 2+ goals1150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
174Marko Arnautovic: 2+ shots on target1100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
175Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assists1080.0%$3.4K1080¢-980¢
176Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals1050.0%$9.7K1050¢-950¢
177Pedri: 1+ goals1050.0%$6.7K1050¢-950¢
178Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots on target1050.0%$521050¢-950¢
179Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goals + assists1050.0%—1050¢-950¢
180Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists1045.0%$2.6K1045¢-945¢
181Pedri: 2+ shots on target1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
182Marcel Sabitzer: 3+ shots1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
183Pedri: 3+ shots1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
184Romano Schmid: 3+ shots1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
185Rodri: 1+ goals950.0%$747950¢-850¢
186Marko Arnautovic: 4+ shots950.0%—950¢-850¢
187Rodri: 3+ shots950.0%—950¢-850¢
188Pedro Porro: 1+ assists900.0%$38900¢-800¢
189Lamine Yamal: 2+ assists865.0%$5.2K865¢-765¢
190Pedro Porro: 1+ shots on target850.0%$18850¢-750¢
191Pedro Porro: 3+ shots850.0%—850¢-750¢
192Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ assists750.0%$146750¢-650¢
193Pedri: 4+ shots650.0%—650¢-550¢
194Marko Arnautovic: 1+ assists600.0%$71600¢-500¢
195Marcel Sabitzer: 4+ shots600.0%—600¢-500¢
196Romano Schmid: 1+ goals550.0%—550¢-450¢
197Marcel Sabitzer: 5+ shots550.0%—550¢-450¢
198Marko Arnautovic: 5+ shots550.0%—550¢-450¢
199Pedro Porro: 4+ shots550.0%—550¢-450¢
200Rodri: 4+ shots550.0%—550¢-450¢
201Konrad Laimer: 1+ goals500.0%—500¢-400¢
202Paul Wanner: 1+ goals500.0%—500¢-400¢
203Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assists470.0%$3.6K470¢-370¢
204Alex Baena: 2+ assists450.0%$33450¢-350¢
205Nico Williams: 1+ shots435.0%$15.0K435¢-335¢
206Rodri: 4+ goals + assists415.0%$6.0K415¢-315¢
207Pedro Porro: 1+ goals400.0%$1400¢-300¢
208Pedri: 2+ assists395.0%$430395¢-295¢
209Alex Baena: 2+ goals360.0%$74360¢-260¢
210Nico Williams: 4+ shots350.0%—350¢-250¢
211Nico Williams: 2+ shots345.0%$166345¢-245¢
212Dani Olmo: 2+ goals330.0%$1.7K330¢-230¢
213Rodri: 2+ assists315.0%$134315¢-215¢
214Nico Williams: 3+ shots310.0%—310¢-210¢
215Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ assists300.0%$1.4K300¢-200¢
216Pedro Porro: 2+ assists300.0%$2.4K300¢-200¢
217Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals290.0%$2.7K290¢-190¢
218Dani Olmo: 2+ assists285.0%$2.0K285¢-185¢
219Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assists285.0%$5.6K285¢-185¢
220Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals260.0%$6.7K260¢-160¢
221Nico Williams: 1+ goals260.0%$7.8K260¢-160¢
222Nico Williams: 5+ shots250.0%—250¢-150¢
223Marko Arnautovic: 2+ assists210.0%$433210¢-110¢
224Nico Williams: 1+ assists200.0%$2.7K200¢-100¢
225Marko Arnautovic: 2+ goals140.0%$1.2K140¢-40¢
226Pedri: 2+ goals115.0%$1.9K115¢-15¢
227Nico Williams: 2+ assists105.0%$370105¢-5¢
228Marcel Sabitzer: 4+ goals + assists75.0%$2.5K75¢25¢
229Pedro Porro: 2+ goals65.0%$1565¢35¢
230Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assists65.0%$5.1K65¢35¢
231Dani Olmo: 3+ goals60.0%$16060¢40¢
232Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ goals60.0%$67460¢40¢
233Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goals60.0%$1560¢40¢
234Nico Williams: 2+ goals60.0%$28660¢40¢
235Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assists60.0%$1.5K60¢40¢
236Alex Baena: 3+ goals55.0%$16255¢45¢
237Romano Schmid: 2+ goals55.0%$555¢45¢
238Nico Williams: 3+ goals50.0%$1050¢50¢
239Rodri: 2+ goals45.0%$1.4K45¢55¢

裁决规则

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 2, 2026

  • 08:16 AM
    DCdchen
    $257.38

    Bought 259.98 No for Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:15 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.0101 No for Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:15 AM
    DCdchen
    $990.00

    Bought 1000 No for Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:15 AM
    ALallanznama
    $987.03

    Bought 997 No for Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:14 AM
    00001nrt
    $3.00

    Bought 300 Yes for Rodri: 3+ goals + assists at 0.01

  • 08:13 AM
    SHSherooqiAysha
    $1,219.12

    Bought 1244 No for Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assists at 0.98

  • 08:13 AM
    0X0xeFd065EbBc639EBeBCB7B804e76F2C4cdd924200-1771480517175
    $7.00

    Bought 16.279068 Yes for Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals at 0.43

  • 08:13 AM
    0X0xeFd065EbBc639EBeBCB7B804e76F2C4cdd924200-1771480517175
    $9.00

    Bought 20.930231 Yes for Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals at 0.43

  • 08:13 AM
    OLOlderbroo
    $1,127.60

    Bought 1138.9898 No for Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:12 AM
    LALanncefy
    $1,153.37

    Bought 1176.906909 No for Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals at 0.98

  • 08:11 AM
    W9W9iq27
    $9.84

    Bought 22.88 Yes for Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals at 0.43

  • 08:11 AM
    DCdchen
    $4.95

    Bought 5 No for Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

C71
0xC7Fb…0436
Event PnL
-$128.27
Volume
$9,089.05
Positions
NoNoYes+2
DE2
DeepDitch
Event PnL
+$92.41
Volume
$3,932.44
Positions
YesNoYes
DC3
dchen
Event PnL
-$922.32
Volume
$2,820.17
Positions
NoNoNo+20
GU4
GUINESS123
Event PnL
-$11.53
Volume
$2,697.00
Positions
NoNoNo
HA5
Haramhustle
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$2,568.86
Positions
Yes
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$93.18
Volume
$2,146.78
Positions
NoNoNo+2
ON7
oneoftheppl
Event PnL
-$6.78
Volume
$1,355.00
Positions
No
CK8
ckteam-01
Event PnL
+$372.35
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
YesYesYes+7

常见问题

当前市场对「Spain vs. Austria - Player Props」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots 以 8,750% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Dani Olmo: 1+ shots（7,600%），以及 Alex Baena: 1+ shots（7,300%）。该市场总成交量已达 $152K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始