Spain vs. Austria - More Markets

$198.9K Vol
2026年7月2日
Active
概率趋势
Austria 52.5%
Spain 47.5%

核心摘要

根据「Spain vs. Austria - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,350% 获胜概率主导市场；Spain O/U 0.5 以 8,900% 位居第二，Team to Advance 以 8,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $198.9K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 0.5 (9,350%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,350¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $124 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Spain O/U 0.5 (8,900%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Spain O/U 0.5 保持着 8,900% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,900¢。
  • Team to Advance (8,650%)：以 8,650% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Team to Advance 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 1.5 (7,650%)、2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,600%)，以及 1st Half O/U 0.5 (7,150%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 0.59350.0%$1249350¢-9250¢
2Spain O/U 0.58900.0%$938900¢-8800¢
3Team to Advance8650.0%$19.4K8650¢-8550¢
4O/U 1.57650.0%$3.2K7650¢-7550¢
52nd Half O/U 0.57600.0%$57600¢-7500¢
61st Half O/U 0.57150.0%$707150¢-7050¢
7Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
8Spain O/U 1.56400.0%$1806400¢-6300¢
9Spain 1st Half O/U 0.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
10O/U 2.55250.0%$33.7K5250¢-5150¢
11Spain (-1.5)4750.0%$66.0K4750¢-4650¢
12Austria O/U 0.54450.0%$1254450¢-4350¢
132nd Half O/U 1.54300.0%$274300¢-4200¢
14Both Teams to Score4050.0%$3.5K4050¢-3950¢
15Spain O/U 2.53650.0%$1183650¢-3550¢
16Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
171st Half O/U 1.53450.0%$913450¢-3350¢
18Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.53000.0%$173000¢-2900¢
19O/U 3.52950.0%$4.0K2950¢-2850¢
20Spain (-2.5)2550.0%$8.8K2550¢-2450¢
21Spain 1st Half O/U 1.52550.0%$442550¢-2450¢
22Austria 1st Half O/U 0.52200.0%$5562200¢-2100¢
232nd Half O/U 2.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
24Both Teams to Score in Second Half2100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
25Will the Match Go to Extra Time?1850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
26Both Teams to Score in First Half1500.0%$241500¢-1400¢
27O/U 4.51450.0%$4.1K1450¢-1350¢
28Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?1350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
291st Half O/U 2.51300.0%$1171300¢-1200¢
30Austria O/U 1.51250.0%$2.6K1250¢-1150¢
31Spain (-3.5)1150.0%$42.8K1150¢-1050¢
32Austria 2nd Half O/U 1.5750.0%$424750¢-650¢
33O/U 5.5600.0%$49600¢-500¢
34Spain (-5.5)410.0%$223410¢-310¢
35Spain (-4.5)400.0%$229400¢-300¢
36Austria O/U 2.5270.0%$981270¢-170¢
37O/U 6.5205.0%—205¢-105¢
38Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5200.0%$82200¢-100¢
39Austria (-1.5)170.0%$801170¢-70¢
40O/U 7.560.0%$6860¢40¢
41O/U 8.560.0%$6860¢40¢
42Austria (-3.5)55.0%$32355¢45¢
43Austria (-2.5)50.0%$16850¢50¢
44Austria (-4.5)20.0%$2.7K20¢80¢
45Austria (-5.5)10.0%$3.1K10¢90¢

裁决规则

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:37 AM
    ——
    $1.08

    Bought 1.0909 Austria for Spread: Spain (-5.5) at 0.99

  • 08:35 AM
    GLglade-do4o-sage
    $2.97

    Bought 99 Spain for Spread: Spain (-5.5) at 0.03

  • 08:35 AM
    GOgoldisoverrated
    $2.00

    Bought 2.0202 Austria for Spread: Spain (-5.5) at 0.99

  • 08:35 AM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $0.98

    Bought 1 Austria for Spread: Spain (-5.5) at 0.98

  • 08:35 AM
    SWswisstony
    $13.72

    Bought 14 Austria for Spread: Spain (-5.5) at 0.98

  • 08:35 AM
    SWswisstony
    $14.70

    Bought 15 Austria for Spread: Spain (-5.5) at 0.98

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0xdb8aED66299346dbb89d7cC3d5Eb54A2e2a00Ca8-1767797209895
    $10.00

    Bought 11.494246 Spain for Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance at 0.87

  • 08:22 AM
    0X0xD7FdCE05376B38baAf487d73a28C8e1eB68F93c0-1770464508073
    $10.00

    Bought 71.42857 Austria for Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance at 0.14

  • 08:08 AM
    DEdeezylabs
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Under for Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 08:05 AM
    0X0x8778a7F62BF29259605889B1180e5241164fa746-1773821552508
    $20.00

    Bought 142.857141 Austria for Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance at 0.14

  • 07:49 AM
    FOForlackofabettername
    $1.12

    Bought 8 Austria for Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance at 0.14

  • 07:45 AM
    ——
    $7.80

    Bought 15 Austria for Spread: Spain (-1.5) at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
+$15.38
Volume
$38,727.72
Positions
UnderAustriaSpain+23
AL2
Allezpapa
Event PnL
+$105.39
Volume
$21,078.39
Positions
Over
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$14.31
Volume
$13,346.65
Positions
UnderAustriaUnder+3
F54
0xf559…7740
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Spain
GC5
GC-P
Event PnL
-$12.98
Volume
$5,928.97
Positions
AustriaUnderUnder+5
NM6
NM-P
Event PnL
-$20.18
Volume
$5,919.98
Positions
UnderAustriaUnder+5
DE7
DeepDitch
Event PnL
+$1.00
Volume
$3,999.95
Positions
AustriaAustria
RA8
rabbitfoot1
Event PnL
-$18.83
Volume
$3,765.04
Positions
Spain

常见问题

当前市场对「Spain vs. Austria - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,350% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Spain O/U 0.5（8,900%），以及 Team to Advance（8,650%）。该市场总成交量已达 $198.9K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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