
Switzerland vs. Colombia - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「Switzerland vs. Colombia - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 8,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Colombia O/U 0.5 以 7,350% 位居第二,2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $78.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 0.5 (8,950%):O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $37 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Colombia O/U 0.5 (7,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,Colombia O/U 0.5 保持着 7,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,350¢。
- 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 1.5 (6,650%)、1st Half O/U 0.5 (6,250%),以及 Switzerland O/U 0.5 (6,200%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 8950.0% | $37 | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 2 | Colombia O/U 0.5 | 7350.0% | $54 | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 3 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 6650.0% | $468 | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 6250.0% | $780 | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 6 | Switzerland O/U 0.5 | 6200.0% | $56 | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 7 | Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score | 4750.0% | $1.2K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 9 | Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 4450.0% | $202 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 10 | Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 | 3950.0% | $33.2K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 12 | Team to Advance | 3850.0% | $11.9K | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 13 | Colombia O/U 1.5 | 3800.0% | $529 | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 14 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 15 | Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 3250.0% | $118 | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 16 | Colombia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 17 | Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | 2850.0% | $18 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 18 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 2650.0% | $51 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 2550.0% | $4 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 20 | Switzerland O/U 1.5 | 2500.0% | $245 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 21 | Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | 2500.0% | $7 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 22 | Colombia (-1.5) | 1950.0% | $15.8K | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 23 | O/U 3.5 | 1950.0% | $3.0K | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams to Score in First Half | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 25 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1400.0% | — | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 26 | Colombia O/U 2.5 | 1350.0% | $552 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 27 | Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 28 | Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 29 | Switzerland (-1.5) | 850.0% | $2.0K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 30 | 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 850.0% | $5 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 31 | O/U 4.5 | 750.0% | $15 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 32 | Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 33 | Switzerland O/U 2.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 34 | Colombia (-2.5) | 650.0% | $4 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 35 | Colombia (-4.5) | 410.0% | $110 | 410¢ | -310¢ |
| 36 | O/U 5.5 | 330.0% | — | 330¢ | -230¢ |
| 37 | Colombia (-3.5) | 235.0% | — | 235¢ | -135¢ |
| 38 | Switzerland (-2.5) | 230.0% | $4.0K | 230¢ | -130¢ |
| 39 | O/U 6.5 | 150.0% | $250 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 40 | Switzerland (-3.5) | 70.0% | — | 70¢ | 30¢ |
| 41 | O/U 7.5 | 60.0% | — | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 42 | O/U 8.5 | 55.0% | $760 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 43 | Switzerland (-4.5) | 45.0% | $1.1K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 44 | Colombia (-5.5) | 35.0% | $1.1K | 35¢ | 65¢ |
| 45 | Switzerland (-5.5) | 20.0% | $1.5K | 20¢ | 80¢ |
裁决规则
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 7 at 4:00 PM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 4, 2026
- 08:34 PMMOMontelibero$1.00
Bought 2.040815 Yes for Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score at 0.49
- 08:33 PMMOMontelibero$1.00
Bought 1.694914 Under for Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 at 0.59
- 08:31 PMMOMontelibero$2.00
Bought 4.081631 Yes for Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score at 0.49
- 08:30 PMMOMontelibero$3.00
Bought 4.91803 Colombia for Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance at 0.61
- 08:27 PMALAlexiaress88$20.00
Bought 32.786884 Colombia for Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance at 0.61
- 08:19 PMIOiolnnn$24.00
Bought 60 Switzerland for Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance at 0.4
- 08:18 PMMAmadmartigan5$200.00
Bought 1000 Colombia for Spread: Colombia (-1.5) at 0.2
- 08:13 PMSUsuntori$4.85
Bought 7.13235 Over for Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 at 0.68
- 08:12 PMMOMONKEYDJOSE$1.00
Bought 1.639343 Colombia for Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance at 0.61
- 08:09 PMMImindoverflow$4.21
Bought 6.901638 Colombia for Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance at 0.61
- 08:02 PMSUsuntori$48.54
Bought 79.573769 Colombia for Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance at 0.61
- 07:59 PMSHSharpAIO$10.00
Bought 16.393441 Colombia for Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance at 0.61
常见问题
当前市场对「Switzerland vs. Colombia - More Markets」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 0.5 以 8,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Colombia O/U 0.5(7,350%),以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5(7,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $78.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
